Frederiksen B, Lanng S, Koch C, Høiby N
Danish Cystic Fibrosis Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Pediatr Pulmonol. 1996 Mar;21(3):153-8. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0496(199603)21:3<153::AID-PPUL1>3.0.CO;2-R.
We report survival data for Danish center-treated cystic fibrosis (CF) patients, covering the period 1974-1993 and using cross-sectional cumulative survival probability based on annual age-specific mortality rates. Analyses by age and by years after diagnosis were made. No significant differences were noted in the survival probability when patients were grouped according to sex or absence/presence of meconium ileus. The annual mortality rate for 1989-1993 was 0-1.2%. Using the age-specific mortality rate for 1989-1993, we were unable to calculate the median survival probability because the curve did not fall below 50% (age up to 45 years); however, it was possible to show that the survival probability for a newborn CF child to reach his 45th birthday was 80.4%(confidence interval 76.5-84.6%). The median age at diagnosis was 0.63 years with no sex difference. The probability of surviving 40 years after the diagnosis of CF was made was 83.3% (confidence interval 80.1-86.6%). This is considerably higher than any other published survival probability. An early anti-Pseudomonas aeruginosa treatment regimen seemed important in achieving the observed improved survival.
我们报告了丹麦各中心治疗的囊性纤维化(CF)患者的生存数据,涵盖1974年至1993年期间,并根据年度年龄别死亡率采用横断面累积生存概率进行分析。按年龄和诊断后的年份进行了分析。根据性别或有无胎粪性肠梗阻对患者进行分组时,未观察到生存概率有显著差异。1989年至1993年的年死亡率为0%至1.2%。利用1989年至1993年的年龄别死亡率,我们无法计算中位生存概率,因为曲线未降至50%以下(年龄至45岁);然而,可以表明,CF新生儿活到45岁生日的生存概率为80.4%(置信区间76.5 - 84.6%)。诊断时的中位年龄为0.63岁,无性别差异。CF诊断后存活40年的概率为83.3%(置信区间80.1 - 86.6%)。这大大高于其他任何已发表的生存概率。早期抗铜绿假单胞菌治疗方案似乎对实现观察到的生存改善很重要。