Michels K B, Willett W C
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Epidemiology. 1996 Sep;7(5):521-8.
The influence of induced or spontaneous abortion on breast cancer risk has been the subject of numerous epidemiologic studies over the past decades and has recently received heightened attention. Here, we review the evidence to understand better the apparent inconsistencies among studies. We considered possible biases in data collection, presentation, and analysis that could create spurious associations or obscure real relations. A particularly important issue is the sensitive nature of abortion, which is a pervasive problem that could affect the validity of many studies. Also, an incomplete pregnancy deprives the woman of a potentially protective full-term pregnancy and therefore may appear harmful when compared with the experience of a woman who did carry to term. The dual effect of parity on breast cancer risk-short-term risk increase and long-term protection-adds another dimension of complexity to the interpretation of abortion studies. Long-term influences of abortion may have been insufficiently captured in some studies, as follow-up time was too short. Studies to date are inadequate to infer with confidence the relation between induced or spontaneous abortion and breast cancer risk, but it appears that any such relation is likely to be small or nonexistent.
在过去几十年中,人工流产或自然流产对乳腺癌风险的影响一直是众多流行病学研究的主题,最近受到了更多关注。在此,我们回顾相关证据,以便更好地理解各项研究之间明显的不一致之处。我们考虑了数据收集、呈现和分析中可能存在的偏差,这些偏差可能会产生虚假关联或掩盖真实关系。一个特别重要的问题是流产的敏感性,这是一个普遍存在的问题,可能会影响许多研究的有效性。此外,不完全妊娠使女性失去了潜在的保护性足月妊娠,因此与足月分娩的女性相比,可能显得有害。生育次数对乳腺癌风险的双重影响——短期风险增加和长期保护——为流产研究的解读增添了另一个复杂层面。在一些研究中,由于随访时间过短,流产的长期影响可能未得到充分体现。迄今为止的研究尚不足以自信地推断人工流产或自然流产与乳腺癌风险之间的关系,但似乎任何此类关系都可能很小或不存在。