A decision support system for bed-occupancy management and planning hospitals.

The planning of services within a hospital is a complex task which relies on the availability of accurate data. Such data on patterns of bed occupancy enable us to develop tools which assess performance measures based on activity within a hospital and its beds, and hence they improve the efficiency of bed management and they facilitate the more effective use of resources. We report the development of a bed-occupancy-modelling package that uses a mathematical model to separate the pattern of bed occupancy in hospitals into acute, rehabilitative, and long-stay components. The bed-occupancy management and planning system analyses data downloaded from the patient administrative system. A query-by-example function is then used to separate the data into meaningful subgroups, such as age groups, or the various specialties. The underlying model is a mixed exponential where the number of terms in the mixture corresponds to the number of stages in the hospital spell, typically, acute, rehabilitative, and long stay. The software has been used to analyse data from a number of different specialties and services. A 'what-if' capability [correction of capacility] allows the planner to assess the effect of changes prior to their introduction.