Scheele J, Altendorf-Hofmann A, Stangl R, Schmidt K
Klinik und Poliklinik für Allgemeine und Viszerale Chirurgie, Friedrich-Schiller-Universität, Jena.
Swiss Surg. 1996;Suppl 4:4-17.
From 1960 to 1993, a total of 1.766 patients with liver metastases from colorectal carcinoma was recorded. Five-hundred-and-eight patients (28.8%) underwent hepatic resection which was performed with curative intent in 473 patients (26.8%). 30-day mortality in this group was 4.5%, being 2.6% (4 out of 155) since 1990. Significant morbidity was observed in 16% of patients with a decrease to 7% for the last 4 years. A 99.5 percent follow-up until January 1, 1996, was achieved. Excluding operative mortality there are 376 patients with "potentially curative" initial liver resection, and 65 corresponding patients with minimal macroscopic (n = 19) or microscopic (n = 46) residual disease. The latter group demonstrated a poor prognosis with median and maximum survival times of 14.8 and 56 months, respectively. Among the 376 patients having potentially curative resection the actuarial five, ten, and twenty year survival was 39 +/- 3, 26 +/- 5 and 21 +/- 13 percent, respectively. Tumor-free survival was 34 +/- 3 percent at 5 years. In the univariate analysis, the following factors were associated with decreased crude survival: Presence and extent of mesenteric lymph node involvement (p = 0.0001), poor grading of the primary tumor (p = 0.008), synchronous diagnosis of metastases (p = 0.004), satellite metastases (p < 0.0001), an increasing metastasis diameter (p < 0.0001), preoperative CEA elevation (p = 0.0002), a resection margin of less than 1 cm (p = 0.018), extrahepatic disease (p = 0.02), non-anatomical procedures (p = 0.008), and an operative blood loss exceeding 2.000 ml (p = 0.02). With respect to disease-free survival, extrahepatic disease (p = 0.09) failed to achieve statistical significance, while patients with colon cancer and with delayed resection of synchronous metastases did significantly better than those with rectal cancer (p = 0.02) and with a simultaneous procedure (p = 0.04), respectively. Multiplicity and bilobar involvement did not affect prognosis. Similarly, no significant predictive value of an increasing number of metastases (1-3 vs > or = 4) on either overall (p = 0.35) or disease free survival (p = 0.55) was found after a radical excision of all detectable disease. Using Cox's multivariate regression analysis, presence of satellite metastases, anatomical vs non-anatomical approach, primary tumor grade and diameter of the largest metastasis all independently affected both crude and tumor-free survival (p < 0.05). With respect to survival, this was complemented by the margin of clearance (0.05 < p < 0.1), while for disease-free survival primary tumor site and time of metastasis diagnosis had some additional influence. Twenty-six patients with R0-reresection of the liver, and 32 patients with radical excision of extrahepatic recurrent disease had a subsequent 5-year survival of 57 +/- 15 percent and 32 +/- 12 percent, respectively. This confirms the effectiveness of a close follow-up policy.
1960年至1993年期间,共记录了1766例结直肠癌肝转移患者。508例患者(28.8%)接受了肝切除术,其中473例患者(26.8%)的手术目的是根治性切除。该组患者的30天死亡率为4.5%,自1990年以来为2.6%(155例中有4例)。16%的患者出现严重并发症,在过去4年中这一比例降至7%。截至1996年1月1日,随访率达到99.5%。排除手术死亡率,有376例患者接受了“潜在根治性”的初次肝切除术,65例相应患者存在微小宏观(n = 19)或微观(n = 46)残留病灶。后一组患者预后较差,中位生存时间和最长生存时间分别为14.8个月和56个月。在376例接受潜在根治性切除术的患者中,精算5年、10年和20年生存率分别为39±3%、26±5%和21±13%。5年无瘤生存率为34±3%。单因素分析中,以下因素与总生存率降低相关:肠系膜淋巴结受累情况及范围(p = 0.0001)、原发肿瘤分级差(p = 0.008)、转移灶同步诊断(p = 0.004)、卫星转移灶(p < 0.0001)、转移灶直径增大(p < 0.0001)、术前癌胚抗原升高(p = 0.0002)、切缘小于1 cm(p = 0.018)、肝外疾病(p = 0.02)、非解剖性手术(p = 0.008)以及术中失血超过2000 ml(p = 0.02)。关于无病生存率,肝外疾病(p = 0.09)未达到统计学意义,而结肠癌患者以及同步转移灶延迟切除的患者分别比直肠癌患者(p = 0.02)和同期手术患者(p = 0.04)的无病生存率显著更高。转移灶的数量和双侧受累情况不影响预后。同样,在根治性切除所有可检测到的病灶后,转移灶数量增加(1 - 3个与≥4个)对总生存率(p = 0.35)或无病生存率(p = 0.55)均无显著预测价值。使用Cox多因素回归分析,卫星转移灶的存在、解剖性与非解剖性手术方式、原发肿瘤分级以及最大转移灶直径均独立影响总生存率和无瘤生存率(p < 0.05)。关于生存率,切缘情况(0.05 < p < 0.1)起到补充作用,而对于无病生存率,原发肿瘤部位和转移灶诊断时间有一些额外影响。26例接受肝脏R0切除的患者和32例接受肝外复发病灶根治性切除的患者随后的5年生存率分别为57±15%和32±12%。这证实了密切随访策略的有效性。