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使用生存分析技术评估长期他克林(安理申)治疗对阿尔茨海默病患者入住疗养院情况和死亡率的影响。

The use of survival analysis techniques in evaluating the effect of long-term tacrine (Cognex) treatment on nursing home placement and mortality in patients with Alzheimer's disease.

作者信息

Smith F, Talwalker S, Gracon S, Srirama M

机构信息

Parke-Davis Pharmaceutical Research, Division of Warner-Lambert Company, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48105, USA.

出版信息

J Biopharm Stat. 1996 Nov;6(4):395-409. doi: 10.1080/10543409608835152.

Abstract

Survival analysis techniques using Cox proportional hazards regressions with time-dependent covariates, life table survival plots, and Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to evaluate the effect of long-term tacrine hydrochloride (Cognex) treatment on nursing home placement (NHP) and mortality in patients with Alzheimer's disease. Patients with probable Alzheimer's disease (NINCDS criteria) who were randomized in a 30-week double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, high-dose study of tacrine (1) were subsequently allowed to receive long-term, open-label treatment during which they could receive doses up to 160 mg/day. Using last tacrine dose, the analyses demonstrated a dose-response relationship where patients on higher tacrine doses were less likely to enter a nursing home or die than patients on lower doses. The Cox proportional hazards regression approach with time-dependent covariates is also compared to logistic regression, which looks only at the crude proportions of patients having the event. Since logistic regression does not allow for the use of time-dependent covariates, it provides somewhat less conservative estimates of the magnitude of the treatment effect.

摘要

采用带有时间依存性协变量的Cox比例风险回归、生命表生存曲线以及Kaplan-Meier估计等生存分析技术,来评估长期使用盐酸他克林(安理申)治疗对阿尔茨海默病患者入住疗养院(NHP)情况及死亡率的影响。在一项为期30周的他克林双盲、安慰剂对照、平行组、高剂量研究(1)中随机分组的可能患有阿尔茨海默病(符合NINCDS标准)的患者,随后被允许接受长期开放标签治疗,在此期间他们可接受高达160毫克/天的剂量。利用最后一次他克林剂量进行分析,结果显示出剂量反应关系,即服用较高剂量他克林的患者比服用较低剂量的患者进入疗养院或死亡的可能性更小。还将带有时间依存性协变量的Cox比例风险回归方法与逻辑回归进行了比较,逻辑回归仅关注发生该事件患者的粗略比例。由于逻辑回归不允许使用时间依存性协变量,所以它对治疗效果大小的估计略显不够保守。

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