Hausen H
Institute of Dentistry, University of Oulu, Finland.
Community Dent Oral Epidemiol. 1997 Feb;25(1):87-96. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0528.1997.tb00904.x.
This paper considers the question of whether, by using the currently available measures for assessing caries risk, one can identify with sufficient accuracy the high caries-risk susceptible individuals who need individual protection to avoid having an unacceptably high number of new cavities. In addition, the outline of a typical caries prediction study is presented with an example, Finally, the accuracy of an actual caries prediction is compared with the accuracy of predicting the onset of acute myocardial infarction in order to point out the fact that the risk of any disease is difficult to assess accurately.
本文探讨了一个问题,即通过使用当前可用的评估龋齿风险的方法,是否能够足够准确地识别出高龋齿风险易感个体,这些个体需要个体防护以避免出现数量多得不可接受的新龋洞。此外,还通过一个例子给出了典型龋齿预测研究的概述。最后,将实际龋齿预测的准确性与预测急性心肌梗死发病的准确性进行比较,以指出任何疾病的风险都难以准确评估这一事实。