Mussurakis S, Buckley D L, Horsman A
Centre for MR Investigations, University of Hull, Hull Royal Infirmary, England.
Radiology. 1997 May;203(2):317-21. doi: 10.1148/radiology.203.2.9114081.
To determine if magnetic resonance (MR) imaging can be used to predict axillary lymph node status in patients with breast cancer.
Fifty-one women with primary invasive breast cancer underwent dynamic contrast material-enhanced MR imaging of the breast Region-of-interest (ROI) analysis was performed on parametric images obtained with kinetic modeling of the data. Large and automated ROIs were selected. Typical enhancement ratios that represented the relative increase in mean pixel signal intensity were calculated for each ROI. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was applied to identify prognostic factors of axillary node status. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed and a Brier score and calibration curve were calculated to assess the diagnostic efficacy and predictive capability of the logistic regression model.
The maximum enhancement ratio of the automated ROI was found to be the strongest predictor of node status (P < .001). Patient age (P = .007) and ROI size (P = .045) were also significant predictor variables. The model showed good accuracy (area beneath the fitted binormal receiver operating characteristic curve [Az] = 0.90; Brier score, 0.133). In 12 (24%) of the patients, a less than 5% or greater than 95% probability of positive-node status was correctly identified.
The suggested predictive model may decrease the need for surgical staging of the axilla in patients with breast cancer.
确定磁共振成像(MR)是否可用于预测乳腺癌患者的腋窝淋巴结状态。
51例原发性浸润性乳腺癌女性患者接受了乳腺动态对比剂增强磁共振成像。对通过数据动力学建模获得的参数图像进行感兴趣区(ROI)分析。选择大的自动感兴趣区。计算每个感兴趣区代表平均像素信号强度相对增加的典型增强率。应用逐步逻辑回归分析确定腋窝淋巴结状态的预后因素。进行受试者工作特征分析,并计算Brier评分和校准曲线,以评估逻辑回归模型的诊断效能和预测能力。
发现自动感兴趣区的最大增强率是淋巴结状态的最强预测指标(P <.001)。患者年龄(P =.007)和感兴趣区大小(P =.045)也是显著的预测变量。该模型显示出良好的准确性(拟合双正态受试者工作特征曲线下面积[Az] = 0.90;Brier评分,0.133)。在12例(24%)患者中,正确识别出阳性淋巴结状态概率小于5%或大于95%的情况。
所建议的预测模型可能会减少乳腺癌患者腋窝手术分期的需求。