Gunnell D, Hawton K, Murray V, Garnier R, Bismuth C, Fagg J, Simkin S
Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1997 Apr;51(2):175-9. doi: 10.1136/jech.51.2.175.
To investigate the relationship between the availability of paracetamol and its use for overdose and suicide.
Analysis of routinely collected information on time trends for paracetamol suicides, non-fatal overdoses, and sales.
England and Wales and France.
There were strong correlations between trends in paracetamol sales in the UK and trends in non-fatal paracetamol overdose in Oxford between 1976 and 1993 (Spearman's r = 0.86; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54, 0.96) and between paracetamol sales and non-fatal overdoses in France between 1974 and 1990 (r = 0.99; 95% CI 0.97, 1.00). Sales figures were also correlated with paracetamol related suicides in both England and Wales, 1983-91 (r = 0.72; 95% CI 0.11, 0.94) and France, 1974-90 (r = 0.79; 95% CI 0.50, 0.92). Similarly strong relationships were observed between trends in non-fatal overdoses and suicide by paracetamol poisoning in England and Wales (r = 0.85; 95% CI 0.61, 0.95) and France (r = 0.79; 95% CI 0.50, 0.92). It is estimated that approximately 32,000 overdoses involving paracetamol occur annually in England and Wales. Fatality rates from paracetamol overdose were four times as high in England and Wales (0.4%, 95% CI 0.38, 0.46) as in France (0.1%, 95% CI 0.06, 0.17).
Trends towards greater availability of paracetamol are paralleled by increases in its use for both non-fatal overdose and suicide. Paracetamol related morbidity and mortality seem to be less frequent in France where the quantity of paracetamol in a single purchase is limited. Although not conclusive, these data add to a body of evidence which suggests that restrictions in the quantity of paracetamol available as a single purchase in the UK may reduce suicide and liver failure related to paracetamol.
研究对乙酰氨基酚的可获得性与其过量使用及自杀行为之间的关系。
分析常规收集的有关对乙酰氨基酚自杀、非致命性过量使用及销售的时间趋势信息。
英格兰、威尔士和法国。
1976年至1993年期间,英国对乙酰氨基酚的销售趋势与牛津地区非致命性对乙酰氨基酚过量使用趋势之间存在强相关性(斯皮尔曼相关系数r = 0.86;95%置信区间(CI)0.54,0.96),1974年至1990年期间法国对乙酰氨基酚销售与非致命性过量使用之间也存在强相关性(r = 0.99;95% CI 0.97,1.00)。销售数据还与1983 - 1991年英格兰和威尔士以及1974 - 1990年法国与对乙酰氨基酚相关的自杀行为相关(英格兰和威尔士r = 0.72;95% CI 0.11,0.94;法国r = 0.79;95% CI 0.50,0.92)。在英格兰和威尔士以及法国,非致命性过量使用趋势与对乙酰氨基酚中毒自杀趋势之间也观察到类似的强相关性(英格兰和威尔士r = 0.85;95% CI 0.61,0.95;法国r = 0.79;95% CI 0.50,0.92)。据估计,英格兰和威尔士每年约发生32,000起涉及对乙酰氨基酚的过量使用事件。英格兰和威尔士对乙酰氨基酚过量使用的死亡率(0.4%,95% CI 0.38,0.46)是法国(0.1%,95% CI 0.06,0.17)的四倍。
对乙酰氨基酚可获得性增加的趋势与它在非致命性过量使用及自杀方面的使用增加并行。在法国,单次购买的对乙酰氨基酚数量有限,与对乙酰氨基酚相关的发病率和死亡率似乎较低。尽管并非结论性的,但这些数据补充了一系列证据,表明在英国限制单次购买对乙酰氨基酚的数量可能会减少与对乙酰氨基酚相关的自杀和肝衰竭。