Grassman E D, Johnson S A, Krone R J
Division of Cardiology, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois 60153, USA.
J Am Coll Cardiol. 1997 Jul;30(1):201-8. doi: 10.1016/s0735-1097(97)00102-2.
The purpose of this study was to determine predictors of successful coronary angioplasty for acute myocardial infarction (MI) and associated predictors of the major complications of in-hospital mortality and emergency coronary artery bypass graft surgery.
Primary angioplasty is being increasingly used to treat acute MI, but factors affecting the success and major complications have not been well studied. Forty laboratories have been contributing clinical and procedural data to the Society of Cardiac Angiography and Interventions (SCA&I) on primary angioplasty for acute MI.
Univariable and stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis of clinical and procedural variables was used to calculate predictors of success and major complications.
There were 4,366 primary angioplasty procedures reported from 1990 through 1994, with an overall success rate of 91.5%, an in-hospital mortality rate of 2.5% and a rate of emergency surgery of 4.3%. Higher laboratory primary angioplasty volume and lower age were predictive of success. An intraaortic balloon pump in place, cardiogenic shock and a moribund condition had negative predictive effects. Unsuccessful angioplasty, cardiogenic shock or a moribund state were predictive of in-hospital death. Unsuccessful angioplasty, the absence of a history of hypertension and the absence of congestive heart failure were predictive of emergency surgery.
The rates of success and major complications in the SCA&I Registry are similar to other series. Predictors of success and major complications can be assessed and may be useful for risk stratifying candidates for primary angioplasty in acute MI.
本研究旨在确定急性心肌梗死(MI)冠状动脉血管成形术成功的预测因素以及住院死亡率和急诊冠状动脉旁路移植手术等主要并发症的相关预测因素。
直接血管成形术越来越多地用于治疗急性MI,但影响手术成功及主要并发症的因素尚未得到充分研究。40个实验室一直在向心脏血管造影和介入学会(SCA&I)提供关于急性MI直接血管成形术的临床和手术数据。
采用临床和手术变量的单变量及逐步多变量逻辑回归分析来计算成功和主要并发症的预测因素。
1990年至1994年共报告了4366例直接血管成形术,总体成功率为91.5%,住院死亡率为2.5%,急诊手术率为4.3%。较高的实验室直接血管成形术例数和较低的年龄是成功的预测因素。使用主动脉内球囊反搏、心源性休克和濒死状态具有负性预测作用。血管成形术不成功、心源性休克或濒死状态是住院死亡的预测因素。血管成形术不成功、无高血压病史和无充血性心力衰竭是急诊手术的预测因素。
SCA&I注册中心的成功率和主要并发症发生率与其他系列相似。成功和主要并发症的预测因素可以进行评估,可能有助于对急性MI直接血管成形术的候选者进行危险分层。