Smith S, Weber S, Wiblin T, Nettleman M
University of Iowa College of Medicine, Iowa City, USA.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 1997 Oct;18(10):688-91. doi: 10.1086/647513.
To study the cost-effectiveness of vaccination for hepatitis A.
Hypothetical analysis of students currently enrolled in medical school in the United States.
A Markov-based model was developed using data from the literature, actual hospital costs, and an annual discount rate of 5%. The incidence rate was based on the lowest annual rate for the US population during the past decade.
Over the lifetimes of students currently in medical school, the model estimated that there would be 286 hepatitis A cases with four deaths and 107 lost years of life. With routine vaccination, these numbers would decrease to 17, 0.3, and 6, respectively. The costs per life-year saved and quality adjusted life-year saved were $58,000 and $47,000, respectively. Serologic screening prior to vaccination was less cost-effective than universal vaccination. If the incidence of hepatitis A was underestimated by a factor of 5, the cost per life-year saved would decrease to $5,500. If the incidence of hepatitis was underestimated by a factor of 10, vaccination would result in a net cost savings.
We conclude that the cost per life-year saved by routine hepatitis A vaccination was similar to many other standard medical modalities. For routine vaccination of medical students to be cost-saving, the incidence rate for hepatitis A must be at least 10 times higher than the rate presently reported for the general population. Serological screening prior to vaccination was not cost-effective.
研究甲型肝炎疫苗接种的成本效益。
对美国目前就读医学院的学生进行假设分析。
使用文献数据、实际医院成本和5%的年贴现率建立基于马尔可夫模型。发病率基于过去十年美国人群的最低年发病率。
在目前医学院学生的一生中,模型估计将有286例甲型肝炎病例,4例死亡,107个生命年损失。通过常规疫苗接种,这些数字将分别降至17例、0.3例和6个生命年。每挽救一个生命年和质量调整生命年的成本分别为58,000美元和47,000美元。接种疫苗前的血清学筛查比普遍接种疫苗的成本效益更低。如果甲型肝炎的发病率被低估了5倍,每挽救一个生命年的成本将降至5,500美元。如果肝炎的发病率被低估了10倍,疫苗接种将带来净成本节约。
我们得出结论,常规接种甲型肝炎疫苗每挽救一个生命年的成本与许多其他标准医疗方式相似。要使医学生的常规疫苗接种具有成本节约效果,甲型肝炎的发病率必须至少比目前报道的普通人群发病率高10倍。接种疫苗前的血清学筛查不具有成本效益。