Keiding N, Begtrup K, Scheike T H, Hasibeder G
University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Lifetime Data Anal. 1996;2(2):119-29. doi: 10.1007/BF00128570.
The nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for current-status data has been known for at least 40 years, but only recently have the mathematical-statistical properties been clarified. This note provides a case study in the important and often studied context of estimating age-specific immunization intensities from a seroprevalence survey. Fully parametric and spline-based alternatives (also based on continuous-time models) are given. The basic reproduction number R0 exemplifies estimation of a functional. The limitations implied by the necessarily rather restrictive epidemiological assumptions are briefly discussed.
当前状态数据的非参数最大似然估计器至少已存在40年了,但直到最近其数理统计特性才得以阐明。本笔记在血清流行率调查估计特定年龄免疫强度这一重要且常被研究的背景下提供了一个案例研究。给出了完全参数化和基于样条的替代方法(同样基于连续时间模型)。基本再生数R0例证了一个函数的估计。简要讨论了必然相当严格的流行病学假设所隐含的局限性。