Easterling D
Colorado Trust, Denver 80203-1604, USA.
Risk Anal. 1997 Oct;17(5):635-47. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1997.tb00904.x.
This article reviews the studies commissioned by the Nevada Nuclear Waste Project Office to estimate the economic impact of a high-level nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain. Case studies found that visitor impacts occur for some analogous facilities, but not for others. Assessments of behavioral intent indicate that at least some economic agents would avoid visiting Nevada under repository scenarios. A third set of studies tested the risk-aversion and negative-imagery models of visitor decision making; people avoid visiting places associated with either a significant health risk or negative imagery, but it has yet to be shown that a repository would induce these perceptions in nearby places. In sum, the NWPO-sponsored studies suggest the potential for visitor impacts, but do confirm that these effects will occur.
本文回顾了内华达核废料项目办公室委托开展的各项研究,这些研究旨在评估在尤卡山建造一座高放核废料处置库所产生的经济影响。案例研究发现,一些类似设施会对游客产生影响,而另一些则不会。对行为意向的评估表明,在处置库建设的情况下,至少有一些经济主体会避免前往内华达州。第三组研究对游客决策的风险规避和负面形象模型进行了测试;人们会避免前往与重大健康风险或负面形象相关的地方,但尚未证明处置库会在附近地区引发这些认知。总之,由核废料项目办公室赞助的研究表明存在游客受影响的可能性,但并未证实这些影响一定会发生。