Assessing dental manpower needs in Tennessee.

Using a formula developed by the State of Kentucky and the best data available for the State of Tennessee, it is estimated that this state currently has a slight oversupply of dentists, but that by the turn of the century this will have become a shortage. There is no reason to doubt these estimates except that for confidence in them we will need state-specific data on the supply of dental manpower, the need for dental care, and the demand for dental care. Following the recommendations of the Institute of Medicine and others, the College of Dentistry has initiated the Dental Manpower Project to develop and maintain a database which will allow Tennessee to forecast and monitor trends in the supply of dental personnel and factors affecting need and demand. Hopefully, such an activity will help us avoid mistakes like those made 25 to 30 years ago which resulted in the education of too many dentists nationwide (and in this state) and an unfortunate breach between practitioners and dental education.