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风险决策的相关因素。

Correlates of risky decision-making.

作者信息

Plax T G, Rosenfeld L B

出版信息

J Pers Assess. 1976 Aug;40(4):413-8. doi: 10.1207/s15327752jpa4004_11.

Abstract

The purpose of this investigation was to develop a personality pattern which could be used for both the explication and prediction of risky behavior in a variety of decision-making situations. Two months after the completion of a battery of psychological examinations, 240 randomly selected subjects responded to three problems adapted from the Kogan and Wallach Choice Dilemma Problems. Analyses of the data (correlational, factor analytic, and stepwise multiple regression) revealed a stable personality index representative of individuals exhibiting riskiness in decision-making. Variables contributing to this pattern characterized a dynamic task oriented individual. The results of this study should prove useful to future decision-making research by providing a framework for prediction.

摘要

本调查的目的是开发一种人格模式,该模式可用于解释和预测各种决策情境中的冒险行为。在完成一系列心理测试两个月后,240名随机挑选的受试者对改编自科根和瓦拉赫选择困境问题的三个问题做出了回应。数据分析(相关性分析、因子分析和逐步多元回归分析)揭示了一个稳定的人格指数,该指数代表了在决策中表现出冒险倾向的个体。促成这种模式的变量刻画了一个动态的、以任务为导向的个体。本研究结果应为未来的决策研究提供一个预测框架,从而证明是有用的。

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