Green L
Department of Family Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-0708, USA.
Prim Care. 1998 Jun;25(2):391-400. doi: 10.1016/s0095-4543(05)70071-3.
This article discusses the cognitive tendencies that lead to inaccurate appraisal of the value of tests or treatments, the role of evidence-based medicine in correcting them, and the need for the primary physician to provide an evidence-based perspective. True clinical outcomes and levels of evidence are defined. The clinical epidemiology of testing is reviewed, with emphasis on sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. These are followed by criteria for usefulness in screening. Treatment evaluation is discussed in terms of absolute risk reduction and number needed to treat.
本文讨论了导致对检查或治疗价值评估不准确的认知倾向、循证医学在纠正这些倾向中的作用,以及初级医师提供循证观点的必要性。定义了真实的临床结局和证据水平。回顾了检查的临床流行病学,重点关注敏感性、特异性以及阳性和阴性预测值。随后是筛查有用性的标准。从绝对风险降低和治疗所需人数方面讨论了治疗评估。