Kurz X, Annemans L, Dresse A
Laboratoire de Pharmacologie, Université de Liège.
Rev Med Liege. 1998 May;53(5):265-9.
On the basis of the results of the European stroke Prevention Study (ESPS 2) obtained on 6,602 patients, we used a Markov model to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of a combination of a low-dose of acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) (25 mg b.i.d.) and sustained-release dipyridamole (DP) (200 mg b.i.d.) versus a low-dose of acetylsalicylic acid alone in the prevention of recurrent stroke in Belgium. The perspective was that of the Social Security. Total costs per patient over 5 years amounted to 1,317,718 FB for placebo, 1,312,015 FB for ASA and 1,326,526 FB for ASA-DP, with respectively 3.16, 3.25 and 3.33 stroke-free life years (SFLY). For 1,000 patients followed over 5 years, the number of SFLYs gained by ASA-DP is 170 when compared to placebo and 100 when compared to ASA. As compared to placebo, ASA is a dominant strategy and the combination AAS-DP has a cost-effectiveness ratio of 50,569 FB per SFLY gained. The cost-effectiveness ratio of ASA-DP vs. ASA was 176,963 FB per SFLY gained and was not substantially modified in sensitivity analyses. The favourable cost-effectiveness ratio for ASA-DP is mainly explained by the reduction of costs associated with the acute treatment of stroke.
基于对6602例患者开展的欧洲卒中预防研究(ESPS 2)结果,我们采用马尔可夫模型,对比低剂量乙酰水杨酸(ASA)(25毫克,每日两次)与缓释双嘧达莫(DP)(200毫克,每日两次)联合用药和单用低剂量乙酰水杨酸在比利时预防复发性卒中方面的成本效益。分析视角为社会保障视角。每位患者5年的总成本,安慰剂组为1317718比利时法郎,ASA组为1312015比利时法郎,ASA-DP组为1326526比利时法郎,无卒中生存年数(SFLY)分别为3.16、3.25和3.33。对于1000例随访5年的患者,与安慰剂相比,ASA-DP组多获得170个SFLY,与ASA相比多获得100个SFLY。与安慰剂相比,ASA是优势策略,ASA-DP联合用药每获得1个SFLY的成本效益比为50569比利时法郎。ASA-DP与ASA相比,每获得1个SFLY的成本效益比为176963比利时法郎,在敏感性分析中未发生实质性改变。ASA-DP良好的成本效益比主要是由于卒中急性治疗相关成本的降低。