Crump K S, Hoel D G, Langley C H, Peto R
Cancer Res. 1976 Sep;36(9 pt.1):2973-9.
Various possible models of carcinogenesis are analyzed with respect to low dose kinetics. The importance of background carcinogenesis upon the shape of the dose-response curve at low dose is emphasized. It is shown that, if carcinogenesis by an external agent acts additively with any already ongoing process, then under almost any model the response will be linear at low dose. Measures of the degree of linearity are obtained for multistage models of carcinogenesis, where it is shown that throughout the dose range where the extra risk is less than the spontaneous risk linear extrapolation must be quite accurate.
针对低剂量动力学分析了各种可能的致癌模型。强调了背景致癌作用对低剂量下剂量反应曲线形状的重要性。结果表明,如果外部因素致癌作用与任何正在进行的过程呈相加作用,那么在几乎任何模型下,低剂量时的反应都将是线性的。对于多阶段致癌模型获得了线性程度的度量,结果表明在额外风险小于自发风险的整个剂量范围内,线性外推必定相当准确。