McKinney P A, Parslow R C, Lane S A, Bailey C C, Lewis I, Picton S, Cartwright R A
Paediatric Epidemiology Group, Centre for Health Services Research, University of Leeds, UK.
Br J Cancer. 1998 Oct;78(7):974-9. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1998.612.
From a high-quality population-based register of children with cancer, 455 cases diagnosed with central nervous system (CNS) tumours were analysed to examine patterns of occurrence and geographical distribution. There was a significant increase of 1.8% (95% CI 0.5-3.1, P < 0.01) in average annual incidence for all CNS tumours, mainly accounted for by a 3.1% rise (95% CI 0.1-6.1, P < 0.05) in primitive neuroectodermal tumours (PNETs) over the 22-year period 1974-95. These increases were not explained by an increase in the proportion of histologically verified tumours. In the most recent time period (1986-95), astrocytomas occurred more commonly than previously in 0 to 4-year olds. Geographical differences in incidence were evident at a large scale, between counties, for all tumours and astrocytomas, with lower rates in the most urbanized areas. At the level of census district and electoral wards, no association between incidence of CNS tumours and socioeconomic group, person-based population density or ethnicity was observed using Poisson regression modelling. Based on small-scale census geography, the patterns of distribution of CNS tumours do not suggest strong associations with geographical determinants of risk. This study finds a rising incidence of all CNS tumours and particularly primitive neuroectodermal tumours and shows that astrocytomas appear to be occurring at a younger age, most probably because of improved diagnosis with non-invasive technology.
从一个高质量的儿童癌症人群登记处,分析了455例被诊断为中枢神经系统(CNS)肿瘤的病例,以研究发病模式和地理分布。所有中枢神经系统肿瘤的年均发病率显著上升了1.8%(95%置信区间0.5 - 3.1,P < 0.01),主要是由于在1974年至1995年的22年期间,原始神经外胚层肿瘤(PNETs)上升了3.1%(95%置信区间0.1 - 6.1,P < 0.05)。这些增加不能用组织学确诊肿瘤比例的增加来解释。在最近时期(1986 - 95年),星形细胞瘤在0至4岁儿童中比以前更常见。所有肿瘤和星形细胞瘤在县与县之间的发病率在大范围上存在明显的地理差异,城市化程度最高的地区发病率较低。在普查区和选区层面,使用泊松回归模型未观察到中枢神经系统肿瘤发病率与社会经济群体、人均人口密度或种族之间存在关联。基于小规模的人口普查地理数据,中枢神经系统肿瘤的分布模式并未显示出与风险的地理决定因素有很强的关联。本研究发现所有中枢神经系统肿瘤,特别是原始神经外胚层肿瘤的发病率在上升,并表明星形细胞瘤似乎在更年轻的年龄出现,很可能是因为非侵入性技术改善了诊断。