Ekstrand C, Carpenter T E
Department of Animal Environment and Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Skara, Sweden.
Acta Vet Scand. 1998;39(2):273-80. doi: 10.1186/BF03547799.
This study aimed at analysing spatial and spatio-temporal aspects of foot-pad dermatitis in Swedish broilers. The information on disease prevalence and severity was based on a two-year foot-health surveillance programme where information on producer, breed, feed manufacturer, region, abattoir, date of slaughter and several other variables was recorded. The level of clustering in space was analysed on 2-digit zipcode level using Moran's I test which measures similarity of location. The level of clustering in space was also analysed using the Ipop test, which takes the population at risk into consideration. The examination of time-space interaction was carried out using the Barton method and the Knox method. We found a significant (p < 0.001) clustering of regions with respect to foot-pad dermatitis score using Moran's I test, and a significant (p < 0.0001) clustering in space also when related to the number of flocks delivered from each region. The flocks with very high prevalence of foot-pad dermatitis were significantly (p < 0.05) clustered in both time and space, i.e. the flocks with high prevalence of lesions came from the same geographic area during the same time periods. This information will permit us to focus the control efforts within the foot-health surveillance programme on specific regions in specific time periods, thus making the programme more effective.
本研究旨在分析瑞典肉鸡脚垫皮炎的空间和时空特征。疾病流行率和严重程度的信息基于一项为期两年的足部健康监测计划,该计划记录了有关生产商、品种、饲料制造商、地区、屠宰场、屠宰日期以及其他几个变量的信息。使用衡量位置相似性的莫兰指数检验,在两位邮政编码级别上分析空间聚集水平。还使用考虑了风险人群的Ipop检验来分析空间聚集水平。使用巴顿方法和诺克斯方法进行时空交互作用的检验。我们发现,使用莫兰指数检验,脚垫皮炎评分在区域上存在显著(p < 0.001)聚集,并且在与每个地区交付的鸡群数量相关时,在空间上也存在显著(p < 0.0001)聚集。脚垫皮炎患病率非常高的鸡群在时间和空间上均显著(p < 0.05)聚集,即病变患病率高的鸡群在同一时间段来自相同的地理区域。这些信息将使我们能够将足部健康监测计划中的防控工作重点放在特定时间段的特定区域,从而使该计划更有效。