Kisely S
Department of Public Health, Birmingham Health Authority, Edgbaston.
J Public Health Med. 1998 Sep;20(3):318-24. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.pubmed.a024775.
In the absence of epidemiological data, mental health services planners often rely on routinely available sources to estimate needs including comparative and deprivation weighted approaches.
This paper reviews available methods using the King's Fund review of mental health services in London as an example. Alternative sources of data to those chosen by the King's Fund report are also reviewed.
Results can vary depending on the comparative populations and methods used. The King's Fund report concluded that London's needs were uniquely high in relation to the rest of the country including other inner city areas, but the use of differing comparison populations in different areas of the document made it difficult to assess whether levels of need were actually higher. Often, London was compared with the national average rather than with inner cities elsewhere in the United Kingdom. There were also shortcomings in the report's assumptions underlying the estimation of services required for London. Alternative sources of data suggest that the needs of cities such as Birmingham, Manchester, Liverpool, Leeds and Newcastle are at least as great as those of London.
This paper illustrates how the use of different techniques on routinely available data can lead to differing conclusions, and offers guidelines to help analyse reports that rely on such methods. Rather than discussing the relative merits of different inner city areas, issues of equity should be addressed by the use of an agreed set of data to ensure that like is compared with like.
在缺乏流行病学数据的情况下,心理健康服务规划者通常依靠常规可用来源来估计需求,包括比较法和贫困加权法。
本文以国王基金对伦敦心理健康服务的审查为例,回顾可用方法。还审查了国王基金报告所选用数据之外的其他数据来源。
结果可能因所使用的比较人群和方法而异。国王基金报告得出结论,与英国其他地区(包括其他内城区)相比,伦敦的需求特别高,但该文件不同地区使用了不同的比较人群,这使得难以评估需求水平是否真的更高。通常,伦敦是与全国平均水平而非英国其他地方的内城区进行比较。该报告在估算伦敦所需服务的假设方面也存在缺陷。其他数据来源表明,伯明翰、曼彻斯特、利物浦、利兹和纽卡斯尔等城市的需求至少与伦敦一样大。
本文说明了对常规可用数据使用不同技术如何导致不同结论,并提供了有助于分析依赖此类方法的报告的指导方针。不应讨论不同内城区的相对优点,而应通过使用一套商定的数据来解决公平问题,以确保同类相比。