Sebai Z A, Baker T D
Med Educ. 1976 Sep;10(5):359-61. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2923.1976.tb01486.x.
Although our projections are not completely accurate, due to inadequate data and crude methods of approximation, three conclusions are inescapable: 1. The nation should give priority to planning new schools for health administrators and rural health workers, and to generally expanding present schools for paramedicals. 2. Plans should proceed rapidly for the two new medical schools. 3. A Health Manpower plan based on census information and special studies should be developed over the next 2 years. This plan should have input from all concerned ministries. (The Ministry of Health has regarded a proposal from University Associate "a group of Harvard, Johns Hopkins and A.U.B. professors" for technical cooperation in health services planning.)
尽管由于数据不足和近似方法粗糙，我们的预测并不完全准确，但仍不可避免地得出三个结论：1. 国家应优先规划为卫生管理人员和农村卫生工作者新建学校，并普遍扩大现有的辅助医疗人员学校。2. 应迅速推进两所新医学院的规划。3. 应在未来两年内制定一项基于人口普查信息和专项研究的卫生人力计划。该计划应得到所有相关部委的参与。（卫生部已考虑大学联盟“一组哈佛、约翰霍普金斯和贝鲁特美国大学的教授”提出的关于卫生服务规划技术合作的提议。）
