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顺势疗法的双盲对照临床试验及月相与术后结果分析。

A double-blind, controlled clinical trial of homeopathy and an analysis of lunar phases and postoperative outcome.

作者信息

Smolle J, Prause G, Kerl H

机构信息

Department of Dermatology, University of Graz, Austria.

出版信息

Arch Dermatol. 1998 Nov;134(11):1368-70. doi: 10.1001/archderm.134.11.1368.

DOI:10.1001/archderm.134.11.1368
PMID:9828870
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To use scientific methods to evaluate 2 claims made by practitioners of alternative medicine.

DESIGN

A placebo-controlled, double-blind study of homeopathy in children with warts, and a cohort study of the influence of lunar phases on postoperative outcome in surgical patients.

SETTING

Outpatients of a dermatology department (homeopathy study) and inpatients evaluated at an anesthesiology department (lunar phases).

SUBJECTS

Sixty volunteers for the homeopathy study and 14,970 consecutive patients undergoing surgery under general anesthesia for the lunar phase study.

INTERVENTIONS

Treatment of children with warts with individually selected homeopathic preparations (homeopathic study); surgical procedures including abdominal, vascular, cardiac, thoracic, plastic, and orthopedic operations and assessment of the lunar phase at the time of operation (lunar phase study).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Reduction of area occupied by warts by at least 50% within 8 weeks; death from any cause within 30 days after surgery.

RESULTS

Nine of 30 subjects in the homeopathy group and 7 of 30 subjects in the placebo group experienced at least 50% reduction in area occupied by warts (chi 2 = 0.34; P = .56); the mortality rate was 1.20% in patients operated on during waxing moon and 1.33% in patients operated on during waning moon (chi 2 = 0.49; P = .50).

CONCLUSIONS

Statements and methods of alternative medicine--as far as they concern observable clinical phenomena--can be tested by scientific methods. When such tests yield negative results, as in the studies presented herein the particular method or statement should be abandoned. Otherwise one would run the risk of supporting superstition and quackery.

摘要

目的

运用科学方法评估替代医学从业者提出的两项主张。

设计

一项针对疣患儿的顺势疗法安慰剂对照双盲研究,以及一项关于月相对手术患者术后结局影响的队列研究。

地点

皮肤科门诊患者(顺势疗法研究)和麻醉科评估的住院患者(月相研究)。

研究对象

顺势疗法研究的60名志愿者,以及月相研究中14970例连续接受全身麻醉手术的患者。

干预措施

用个别选定的顺势疗法制剂治疗疣患儿(顺势疗法研究);手术程序包括腹部、血管、心脏、胸部、整形和骨科手术,并在手术时评估月相(月相研究)。

主要观察指标

8周内疣占据面积减少至少50%;术后30天内任何原因导致的死亡。

结果

顺势疗法组30名受试者中有9名,安慰剂组30名受试者中有7名疣占据面积减少至少50%(χ² = 0.34;P = 0.56);在月盈期手术的患者死亡率为1.20%,在月亏期手术的患者死亡率为1.33%(χ² = 0.49;P = 0.50)。

结论

替代医学的陈述和方法——就其涉及可观察到的临床现象而言——可以通过科学方法进行检验。当此类检验得出阴性结果时,如本文所呈现的研究,应摒弃特定的方法或陈述。否则就有可能支持迷信和庸医行为。

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