Nicholl J
Siegel & Nicholl, Camarillo, California, USA.
Cancer. 1998 Dec 15;83(12 Suppl Robert):2666-79. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0142(19981215)83:12a+<2666::aid-cncr2>3.3.co;2-2.
This article reviews the history of successful and unsuccessful tobacco tax initiatives in eight states in the U. S. since 1988. It addresses the common origins of these initiatives and proposes several strategies for the success of citizen-based initiative campaigns attempting to raise the tobacco excise tax. It explores the impact of tobacco tax increases on youth and discusses why youth consumption is increasing even in the face of rising tobacco taxes. Only 50% of the states in the U. S. can pass tobacco tax increases using the initiative process; the other states require legislative action. Four states have succeeded in passing citizen-sponsored tobacco tax initiatives, whereas two others have failed at the ballot. Efforts in two other states foundered when insufficient signatures were submitted to gain a spot on the ballot. Surveys in all six states in which initiatives were placed on the ballot revealed similar high levels of voter support, but the clearest factor separating winning from losing campaigns was the availability of sufficient financial resources. Other important campaign elements included strong leadership, broad coalitions, experienced legal and political consultants, access to public opinion research, and advance planning.
本文回顾了自1988年以来美国八个州烟草税倡议成功与失败的历史。它阐述了这些倡议的共同起源,并提出了一些策略,以促使基于公民的倡议活动成功提高烟草消费税。文章探讨了提高烟草税对青少年的影响,并讨论了为何即便烟草税不断上涨,青少年烟草消费仍在增加。美国只有50%的州能够通过倡议程序提高烟草税;其他州则需要立法行动。四个州成功通过了公民发起的烟草税倡议,而另外两个州在投票中失败。另外两个州的努力因提交的签名不足未能获得投票资格而失败。在所有六个将倡议提交投票的州进行的调查显示,选民支持率都很高,但区分胜败的最明显因素是是否有足够的财政资源。其他重要的竞选要素包括强有力的领导、广泛的联盟、经验丰富的法律和政治顾问、开展民意调查的途径以及提前规划。