Hakko H, Räsänen P, Tiihonen J
University of Oulu, Department of Psychiatry, Finland.
Soc Sci Med. 1998 Dec;47(11):1695-8. doi: 10.1016/s0277-9536(98)00254-8.
Homicide is recognized as a global public health problem. Finland has the highest overall homicide rate of the Nordic countries in comparisons over short time periods. Using the 39-year time series of homicide incidents in Finland from 1957-95, we analyzed the trend in homicide rate. In addition, we explored for the first time over the time trend in the seasonal variation of homicide and compared seasonal statistics over eight successive time periods. The present study revealed that there has been steadily increasing trend in homicides in Finland since 1950s. At the same time, the seasonality of homicide has decreased markedly. The peaks in homicide rates occurred commonly during summer and the troughs during winter.
杀人被公认为是一个全球公共卫生问题。在短时间内的比较中，芬兰是北欧国家中总体杀人率最高的。利用芬兰1957年至1995年39年的杀人事件时间序列，我们分析了杀人率的趋势。此外，我们首次探讨了杀人季节性变化的时间趋势，并比较了连续八个时间段的季节性统计数据。本研究表明，自20世纪50年代以来，芬兰的杀人案件呈稳步上升趋势。与此同时，杀人案的季节性明显下降。杀人率的高峰通常出现在夏季，低谷出现在冬季。
