Liaw K L
Demography. 1976 Nov;13(4):521-39.
This paper shows analytically how (a) the long-run growth rate and (b) the long-run proportional distribution of an interregional population system with a time-homogeneous structural matrix are affected by small changes or errors in (a) the natural growth rates of individual regions and (b) the interregional migration rates. Furthermore, the analytic results are applied to an eight-region Canadian population system. Finally, it is claimed that the method introduced here can be easily applied to sensitivity analysis of both the intrinsic growth rate and the "stable" age-composition of the Leslie model with respect to changes in age-specific birth and survival rates.
本文通过分析表明,(a)具有时间齐次结构矩阵的区域间人口系统的长期增长率,以及(b)该系统中区域间人口的长期比例分布,是如何受到(a)各个区域的自然增长率和(b)区域间迁移率的微小变化或误差影响的。此外,分析结果应用于一个包含八个区域的加拿大人口系统。最后,有人声称,这里介绍的方法可以很容易地应用于对莱斯利模型的内在增长率和“稳定”年龄构成相对于特定年龄出生率和生存率变化的敏感性分析。