Coyne J C, Pepper C M, Flynn H
Department of Family Medicine, University of Michigan Medical Center, USA.
J Consult Clin Psychol. 1999 Feb;67(1):76-81. doi: 10.1037//0022-006x.67.1.76.
Perhaps the single best predictor of current depression is a prior episode of depression. This study examined the significance of prior depressive episodes in a weighted sample of 425 primary medical care (PC) patients. It also compared the 53 PC patients with major depression with 93 depressed psychiatric patients with respect to percentage of recurrences versus 1st episodes. PC patients with prior depression were over 8 times more likely to be currently depressed than those without such a history. Having at least 1 prior episode of depression was modestly more sensitive, but less specific, than an elevated Center for Epidemiologic Studies--Depression Scale score in predicting current depression. Most currently depressed patients in both PC (85%) and psychiatry (78%) had prior episodes of depression. These findings highlight the importance of assessing history of depression in research and clinical practice.
当前抑郁状态的最佳单一预测指标或许是既往有过抑郁发作史。本研究在425名初级医疗保健(PC)患者的加权样本中考察了既往抑郁发作的意义。研究还比较了53名患有重度抑郁的PC患者与93名抑郁的精神科患者在复发率与首次发作率方面的差异。有过既往抑郁发作史的PC患者当前处于抑郁状态的可能性是无此类病史患者的8倍多。在预测当前抑郁状态方面,至少有1次既往抑郁发作史比流行病学研究中心抑郁量表(CES-D)得分升高略显敏感,但特异性较低。PC科室(85%)和精神科(78%)中当前处于抑郁状态的大多数患者都有过既往抑郁发作史。这些发现凸显了在研究和临床实践中评估抑郁病史的重要性。