Rajala-Schultz P J, Gröhn Y T, McCulloch C E
Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.
J Dairy Sci. 1999 Feb;82(2):288-94. doi: 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(99)75235-5.
The effects of milk fever, ketosis, and lameness were studied using data from 23,416 Finnish Ayrshire cows that calved in 1993 and were followed for one lactation (i.e., until culling or the next calving). Monthly test day milk yields were treated as repeated measurements within a cow in a mixed model analysis. Disease index variables were created to relate the timing of a disease to the measures of test day milk. Statistical models for each parity and disease included fixed effects of calving season, stage of lactation, and disease index. An autoregressive correlation structure was used to model the association among the repeated measurements. The milk yield of cows contracting milk fever was affected for a period of 4 to 6 wk after calving; the loss ranged from 1.1 to 2.9 kg/d, depending on parity and the time elapsed after milk fever diagnosis. Despite the loss, cows with milk fever produced 1.1 to 1.7 kg more milk/d than did healthy cows. Milk yield started to decline 2 to 4 wk before the diagnosis of ketosis and continued to decline for a varying time period after it. The daily milk loss was greatest within the 2 wk after the diagnosis, varying from 3.0 to 5.3 kg/d, depending on parity. Cows in parity 4 or higher were most severely affected by ketosis; the average total loss per cow was 353.4 kg. Lameness also affected milk yield; milk loss of cows diagnosed with foot and leg disorders varied between 1.5 and 2.8 kg/d during the first 2 wk after the diagnosis.
利用1993年产犊且跟踪一个泌乳期(即直至淘汰或下次产犊)的23416头芬兰艾尔夏奶牛的数据,研究了产乳热、酮病和跛行的影响。在混合模型分析中,将每月测定日的产奶量视为同一头奶牛的重复测量值。创建疾病指数变量以关联疾病发生时间与测定日产奶量指标。每个胎次和疾病的统计模型包括产犊季节、泌乳阶段和疾病指数的固定效应。使用自回归相关结构对重复测量值之间的关联进行建模。患产乳热的奶牛在产犊后4至6周内产奶量受到影响;产奶量损失范围为1.1至2.9千克/天,具体取决于胎次和产乳热诊断后的时间。尽管有损失,但患产乳热的奶牛比健康奶牛每天多产奶1.1至1.7千克。酮病诊断前2至4周产奶量开始下降,并在诊断后持续下降不同时间段。诊断后2周内每日产奶量损失最大,根据胎次不同,损失范围为3.0至5.3千克/天。第4胎及以上胎次的奶牛受酮病影响最严重;每头奶牛的平均总损失为353.4千克。跛行也影响产奶量;诊断为腿脚疾病的奶牛在诊断后的前2周内,产奶量损失在1.5至2.8千克/天之间。