Gröhn Y T, Eicker S W, Hertl J A
Department of Clinical Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.
J Dairy Sci. 1995 Aug;78(8):1693-702. doi: 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(95)76794-7.
Logistic regression was used to examine the association between milk yield and disease. We studied 8070 cows of second or higher parity from 25 New York State Holstein herds, calving between June 1990 and November 1993. Previous 305-d mature equivalent milk yield was used because most of the disorders studied occurred too early in lactation for current milk yield to be considered. Seven disorders were studied: retained placenta, metritis, ovarian cyst, milk fever, ketosis, abomasal displacement, and mastitis. A separate model was used for each disorder. Each model included, in additional to milk yield, parity, calving season, and heard. Results showed that higher milk yield was not a risk factor for any disease except mastitis. However, the association between higher previous milk yield and mastitis does not necessarily imply causation.
采用逻辑回归分析产奶量与疾病之间的关联。我们研究了来自纽约州25个荷斯坦奶牛群的8070头二胎或更高胎次的奶牛,这些奶牛在1990年6月至1993年11月期间产犊。使用之前305天的成熟当量产奶量,因为所研究的大多数疾病在泌乳早期就已发生,无法考虑当前的产奶量。研究了七种疾病:胎衣不下、子宫炎、卵巢囊肿、产乳热、酮病、皱胃移位和乳腺炎。每种疾病使用一个单独的模型。每个模型除了产奶量外,还包括胎次、产犊季节和牛群。结果表明,除乳腺炎外,较高的产奶量不是任何疾病的危险因素。然而,之前较高的产奶量与乳腺炎之间的关联并不一定意味着存在因果关系。