Sutker P B, Cohen G H, Allain A N
Int J Addict. 1976;11(5):861-79. doi: 10.3109/10826087609058816.
In an effort to identify predictor variables associated with successful response to multimodality treatment among heroin addicts, this investigation compared addict-clients classified by means of behavioral ratings into success and failure groups on 16 social history and 18 psychological variables using stepwise discrimination techniques. Statistical analyses correctly classified 100% of the treatment failure group and 92% of treatment successes. Successful clients were characterized by more advanced educational achievement at intake, later onset of opiate use, higher scores on MMPI Scales Es and L, and lower scores on MMPI Scale 7. Results suggest that collection and nanlyses of such data at intake may provide a reliable basis for prediction of treatment outcome as well as an objective means for early identification of "high risk" individuals who may require a more concentrated and individualized therapeutic effort.
为了确定与海洛因成瘾者对多模式治疗的成功反应相关的预测变量，本研究使用逐步判别技术，对16项社会史变量和18项心理变量进行了分析，这些成瘾者通过行为评分被分为成功组和失败组。统计分析正确地将100%的治疗失败组和92%的治疗成功组进行了分类。成功的患者在入院时具有更高的教育成就、较晚开始使用阿片类药物、在明尼苏达多相人格调查表（MMPI）的Es量表和L量表上得分较高，而在MMPI的7量表上得分较低。结果表明，在入院时收集和分析这些数据可能为预测治疗结果提供可靠的基础，同时也为早期识别可能需要更集中和个性化治疗的“高危”个体提供一种客观手段。
