Maor Y, Rubin H R, Gabbai U, Mozes B
Gertner Institute for Health Services Research, Tel Aviv University, Sheba Medical Center, Israel.
J Health Serv Res Policy. 1998 Jan;3(1):39-43. doi: 10.1177/135581969800300109.
To evaluate whether routine laboratory data can improve the ability to compare risk-adjusted outcomes of different medical wards, and to detect 'outlier' wards with significantly better or worse outcome.
Patient data were taken from the Combined Patient Database Systematic Management and Research Tool, a database created by merging different computerized sources at a tertiary care hospital. All patients admitted to internal wards with the diagnosis of pneumonia during the years 1991-1995 were included (n = 2734). The outcome variable was mortality 30 days post-admission. We used three comorbidity measures based on ICD-9-CM codes as possible predictors of mortality: secondary diagnoses; the Health Care Financing Administration severity index; and the Charlson comorbidity index. Models were created using logistic regression. To each model, laboratory data gathered in the first 48 hours after admission were added. To identify 'outlier' services we determined whether the patients' ward was an independent predictor of mortality. The area under the receiver operator curve (ROC) of the models was used for comparisons.
The area under the ROC was 0.65-0.72 for the models based on age and comorbid diagnoses. The addition of laboratory data improved markedly the discriminatory ability of each of the models, as reflected by an increase in the area under the ROC to 0.83-0.84. An 'outlier' ward with a higher risk-adjusted mortality rate was identified only by the models that included laboratory data.
Basic, automated, routinely gathered laboratory data added significantly to the discriminatory power of risk models based on administrative data with abstracted diagnoses. Addition of laboratory data improved the ability to identify providers with possible exceptional quality of care.
评估常规实验室数据是否能提高比较不同医疗科室风险调整后结局的能力,以及检测结局显著更好或更差的“异常”科室。
患者数据取自综合患者数据库系统管理与研究工具,该数据库由一家三级护理医院合并不同计算机化数据源创建。纳入1991 - 1995年期间入住内科病房且诊断为肺炎的所有患者(n = 2734)。结局变量为入院后30天死亡率。我们使用基于国际疾病分类第九版临床修订本(ICD - 9 - CM)编码的三种共病测量方法作为死亡率的可能预测指标:次要诊断;医疗保健财务管理局严重程度指数;以及查尔森共病指数。使用逻辑回归创建模型。向每个模型添加入院后最初48小时收集的实验室数据。为识别“异常”科室,我们确定患者所在科室是否为死亡率的独立预测指标。模型的受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积用于比较。
基于年龄和共病诊断的模型,ROC下面积为0.65 - 0.72。添加实验室数据显著提高了每个模型的辨别能力,ROC下面积增加到0.83 - 0.84即反映了这一点。只有包含实验室数据的模型识别出了一个风险调整后死亡率较高的“异常”科室。
基于行政数据和抽象诊断的风险模型,基本的、自动的、常规收集的实验室数据显著增强了其辨别能力。添加实验室数据提高了识别可能具有卓越医疗质量的医疗服务提供者的能力。