Li G, Baker S P
Department of Emergency Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21287-2080, USA.
Aviat Space Environ Med. 1999 Apr;70(4):305-9.
General aviation accounts for the majority of aviation crashes and casualties in the United States, and general aviation safety has not improved in the past decade.
This study identifies factors associated with pilot fatality in general aviation crashes.
We analyzed the National Transportation Safety Board's Factual Reports for all airplane and helicopter crashes of general aviation flights that occurred in North Carolina and Maryland during 1985 through 1994. Surviving pilots were compared with fatally injured pilots in relation to crash circumstances, and pilot and aircraft characteristics, at bivariate level and multivariate level.
A total of 667 crashes resulted in 276 deaths and 368 injuries during the 10-yr period in the two states. Of the pilots-in-command involved in these crashes, 146 (22%) died. The case fatality rate for pilots was significantly higher in crashes that occurred between 6 p.m. and 5 a.m. (34%), away from airports (36%), with aircraft fire (69%), or in instrument meteorological weather conditions (IMC) (71%). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that the significant correlates of pilot fatality were aircraft fire [odds ratio (OR) 13.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.9-27.2], off-airport location (OR 9.9, 95% CI 5.0-19.6), IMC (OR 9.1, 95% CI 4.3-19.6), nighttime (OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.3-3.7), and pilot age > or = 50 yr (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.0-3.0). Pilot gender, flight experience, principal profession, and type of aircraft (airplane vs. helicopter) were not significantly associated with the likelihood of survival.
The most important correlates of pilot fatality are variables likely related to increased impact forces. Better occupant protection equipment, such as air bag and crashworthy fuel system, are needed for general aviation aircraft.
在美国,通用航空事故及伤亡人数占航空事故及伤亡总数的大部分,且通用航空安全状况在过去十年间并未得到改善。
本研究旨在确定与通用航空事故中飞行员死亡相关的因素。
我们分析了美国国家运输安全委员会关于1985年至1994年期间在北卡罗来纳州和马里兰州发生的所有通用航空航班的飞机及直升机事故的事实报告。在双变量和多变量层面,将幸存飞行员与因事故受致命伤的飞行员在事故情况、飞行员及飞机特征方面进行了比较。
在这两个州的10年期间,共有667起事故导致276人死亡,368人受伤。参与这些事故的机长中,146人(22%)死亡。在下午6点至凌晨5点之间发生的事故(34%)、远离机场的事故(36%)、有飞机起火的事故(69%)或在仪表气象条件(IMC)下发生的事故(71%)中,飞行员的病死率显著更高。多变量逻辑回归显示,与飞行员死亡显著相关的因素有飞机起火[比值比(OR)13.7,95%置信区间(CI)6.9 - 27.2]、机场外位置(OR 9.9,95% CI 5.0 - 19.6)、IMC(OR 9.1,95% CI 4.3 - 19.6)、夜间(OR 2.2,95% CI 1.3 - 3.7)以及飞行员年龄≥50岁(OR 1.7,95% CI 1.0 - 3.0)。飞行员性别、飞行经验、主要职业以及飞机类型(飞机与直升机)与生存可能性无显著关联。
与飞行员死亡最重要的相关因素是可能与冲击力增加有关的变量。通用航空飞机需要更好地配备诸如安全气囊和防撞燃油系统等乘员保护设备。