Goldie S J, Kuntz K M, Weinstein M C, Freedberg K A, Welton M L, Palefsky J M
Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Mass 02115-5924, USA.
JAMA. 1999 May 19;281(19):1822-9. doi: 10.1001/jama.281.19.1822.
Homosexual and bisexual men infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are at increased risk for human papillomavirus-related anal neoplasia and anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).
To estimate the clinical benefits and cost-effectiveness of screening HIV-positive homosexual and bisexual men foranal squamous intraepithelial lesions (ASIL) and anal SCC.
Cost-effectiveness analysis performed from a societal perspective that used reference case recommendations from the Panel on Cost-Effectiveness in Health and Medicine. A state-transition Markov model was developed to calculate lifetime costs, life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy for no screening vs several screening strategies for ASIL and anal SCC using anal Papanicolaou (Pap) testing at different intervals. Values for incidence, progression, and regression of anal neoplasia; efficacy of screening and treatment; natural history of HIV; health-related quality of life; and costs were obtained from the literature.
Hypothetical cohort of homosexual and bisexual HIV-positive men living in the United States.
Life expectancy, quality-adjusted life expectancy, quality-adjusted years of life saved, lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio.
Screening for ASIL increased quality-adjusted life expectancy at all stages of HIV disease. Screening with anal Pap tests every 2 years, beginning in early HIV disease (CD4 cell count >0.50 x 10(9)/L), resulted in a 2.7-month gain in quality-adjusted life expectancy for an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $13,000 per quality-adjusted life year saved. Screening with anal Pap tests yearly provided additional benefit at an incremental cost of $16,600 per quality-adjusted life year saved. If screening was not initiated until later in the course of HIV disease (CD4 cell count <0.50 x 10(9)/L), then yearly Pap test screening was preferred due to the greater amount of prevalent anal disease (cost-effectiveness ratio of less than $25,000 per quality-adjusted life year saved compared with no screening). Screening every 6 months provided little additional benefit over that of yearly screening. Results were most sensitive to the rate of progression of ASIL to anal SCC and the effectiveness of treatment of precancerous lesions.
Screening HIV-positive homosexual and bisexual men for ASIL and anal SCC with anal Pap tests offers quality-adjusted life expectancy benefits at a cost comparable with other accepted clinical preventive interventions.
感染人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)的男同性恋者和双性恋男性患人乳头瘤病毒相关肛门肿瘤和肛门鳞状细胞癌(SCC)的风险增加。
评估对HIV阳性的男同性恋者和双性恋男性进行肛门鳞状上皮内病变(ASIL)和肛门SCC筛查的临床益处和成本效益。
从社会角度进行成本效益分析,采用健康与医学成本效益小组的参考案例建议。开发了一个状态转换马尔可夫模型,以计算不进行筛查与几种针对ASIL和肛门SCC的筛查策略(使用不同间隔的肛门巴氏涂片检查)的终身成本、预期寿命和质量调整预期寿命。肛门肿瘤的发病率、进展和消退、筛查和治疗的疗效、HIV的自然史、健康相关生活质量以及成本等数值均从文献中获取。
居住在美国的假设队列中的HIV阳性男同性恋者和双性恋男性。
预期寿命、质量调整预期寿命、质量调整生命年挽救数、终身成本和增量成本效益比。
对ASIL进行筛查在HIV疾病的各个阶段均增加了质量调整预期寿命。从HIV疾病早期(CD4细胞计数>0.50×10⁹/L)开始,每2年进行一次肛门巴氏涂片检查筛查,质量调整预期寿命增加2.7个月,每挽救一个质量调整生命年的增量成本效益比为13,000美元。每年进行肛门巴氏涂片检查筛查可带来额外益处,每挽救一个质量调整生命年的增量成本为16,600美元。如果直到HIV疾病后期(CD4细胞计数<0.50×10⁹/L)才开始筛查,那么由于现存肛门疾病较多,每年进行巴氏涂片检查筛查更可取(与不筛查相比,每挽救一个质量调整生命年的成本效益比低于25,000美元)。每6个月进行一次筛查与每年筛查相比几乎没有额外益处。结果对ASIL进展为肛门SCC的速率和癌前病变治疗的有效性最为敏感。
对HIV阳性的男同性恋者和双性恋男性进行肛门巴氏涂片检查筛查ASIL和肛门SCC可带来质量调整预期寿命益处,其成本与其他公认的临床预防干预措施相当。