Goldie S J, Weinstein M C, Kuntz K M, Freedberg K A
Center for Risk Analysis, Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts 02115-5924, USA.
Ann Intern Med. 1999 Jan 19;130(2):97-107. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-130-2-199901190-00003.
Women with HIV infection have a higher risk for cervical squamous intraepithelial lesions than do women without HIV infection, and the optimal regimen for cervical cancer screening in these women is uncertain.
To assess the net health consequences, costs, and cost-effectiveness of various screening strategies for cervical neoplasia and cancer in HIV-infected women.
A cost-effectiveness analysis from a societal perspective done by using a state-transition Markov model. Values for incidence, progression, and regression of cervical neoplasia; efficacy of screening and treatment; progression of HIV disease; mortality from HIV infection and cancer; quality of life; and costs were obtained from the literature.
Simulated clinical practice in the United States.
HIV-infected women representative of the U.S. population.
Six main screening strategies--no screening, annual Papanicolaou smears, annual Papanicolaou smears after two negative smears obtained 6 months apart (recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), semiannual Papanicolaou smears, annual colposcopy, and semiannual colposcopy--were considered.
Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness.
Annual Papanicolaou smear screening resulted in a 2.1-month gain in quality-adjusted life expectancy for an incremental cost of $12,800 per QALY saved. Annual Papanicolaou smear screening after two negative smears obtained 6 months apart provided an additional 0.04 QALYs at a cost of $14,800 per QALY saved. Semiannual Papanicolaou smear screening provided a further 0.17 QALYs at a cost of $27,600 per QALY saved. Annual colposcopy cost more but provided no additional benefit compared with that given by semiannual Papanicolaou smear screening, and semiannual colposcopy exceeded $375,000 per QALY saved. Results were most sensitive to the rate of progression of neoplasia to invasive cancer.
In HIV-infected women, cervical cancer screening with annual Papanicolaou smears after two negative smears obtained 6 months apart offers quality-adjusted life expectancy benefits at a cost comparable to that of other clinical preventive interventions.
感染HIV的女性患宫颈鳞状上皮内病变的风险高于未感染HIV的女性,而这些女性宫颈癌筛查的最佳方案尚不确定。
评估HIV感染女性中宫颈癌前病变和癌症的各种筛查策略的净健康后果、成本及成本效益。
采用状态转换马尔可夫模型从社会角度进行成本效益分析。宫颈癌前病变的发病率、进展和消退、筛查及治疗效果、HIV疾病进展、HIV感染和癌症死亡率、生活质量及成本等数值均取自文献。
美国模拟临床实践。
代表美国人群的HIV感染女性。
考虑了六种主要筛查策略——不筛查、每年进行巴氏涂片检查、在间隔6个月获得两次阴性涂片后每年进行巴氏涂片检查(由疾病控制和预防中心推荐)、每半年进行巴氏涂片检查、每年进行阴道镜检查以及每半年进行阴道镜检查。
质量调整生命年(QALY)、终身成本和增量成本效益。
每年进行巴氏涂片筛查可使质量调整预期寿命增加2.1个月,每挽救一个QALY的增量成本为12,800美元。在间隔6个月获得两次阴性涂片后每年进行巴氏涂片筛查,每挽救一个QALY的成本为14,800美元,可额外获得0.04个QALY。每半年进行巴氏涂片筛查可进一步获得0.17个QALY,每挽救一个QALY的成本为27,600美元。每年进行阴道镜检查成本更高,但与每半年进行巴氏涂片筛查相比无额外益处,每半年进行阴道镜检查每挽救一个QALY的成本超过375,000美元。结果对癌前病变进展为浸润性癌的发生率最为敏感。
在HIV感染女性中,在间隔6个月获得两次阴性涂片后每年进行巴氏涂片宫颈癌筛查,在成本与其他临床预防干预措施相当的情况下,可带来质量调整预期寿命的益处。