Morrison C S, Sekadde-Kigondu C, Miller W C, Weiner D H, Sinei S K
Family Health International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709, USA.
Contraception. 1999 Feb;59(2):97-106. doi: 10.1016/s0010-7824(99)00006-2.
Sexually transmitted diseases (STD) are an important contraindication for intrauterine device (IUD) insertion. Nevertheless, laboratory testing for STD is not possible in many settings. The objective of this study is to evaluate the use of risk assessment algorithms to predict STD and subsequent IUD-related complications among IUD candidates. Among 615 IUD users in Kenya, the following algorithms were evaluated: 1) an STD algorithm based on US Agency for International Development (USAID) Technical Working Group guidelines: 2) a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) algorithm for management of chlamydia; and 3) a data-derived algorithm modeled from study data. Algorithms were evaluated for prediction of chlamydial and gonococcal infection at 1 month and complications (pelvic inflammatory disease [PID], IUD removals, and IUD expulsions) over 4 months. Women with STD were more likely to develop complications than women without STD (19% vs 6%; risk ratio = 2.9; 95% CI 1.3-6.5). For STD prediction, the USAID algorithm was 75% sensitive and 48% specific, with a positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 1.4. The CDC algorithm was 44% sensitive and 72% specific, LR+ = 1.6. The data-derived algorithm was 91% sensitive and 56% specific, with LR+ = 2.0 and LR- = 0.2. Category-specific LR for this algorithm identified women with very low (< 1%) and very high (29%) infection probabilities. The data-derived algorithm was also the best predictor of IUD-related complications. These results suggest that use of STD algorithms may improve selection of IUD users. Women at high risk for STD could be counseled to avoid IUD, whereas women at moderate risk should be monitored closely and counseled to use condoms.
性传播疾病(STD)是宫内节育器(IUD)放置的一项重要禁忌证。然而,在许多情况下无法进行STD的实验室检测。本研究的目的是评估使用风险评估算法来预测IUD候选者中的STD及随后的IUD相关并发症。在肯尼亚的615名IUD使用者中,对以下算法进行了评估:1)基于美国国际开发署(USAID)技术工作组指南的STD算法;2)美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)用于衣原体管理的算法;3)根据研究数据建模的数据衍生算法。对算法进行评估,以预测1个月时的衣原体和淋病感染以及4个月内的并发症(盆腔炎[PID]、IUD取出和IUD排出)。患有STD的女性比未患STD的女性更易发生并发症(19%对6%;风险比=2.9;95%CI 1.3 - 6.5)。对于STD预测,USAID算法的敏感性为75%,特异性为48%,阳性似然比(LR+)为1.4。CDC算法的敏感性为44%,特异性为72%,LR+ = 1.6。数据衍生算法的敏感性为91%,特异性为56%,LR+ = 2.0,LR- = 0.2。该算法的类别特异性LR识别出感染概率非常低(<1%)和非常高(29%)的女性。数据衍生算法也是IUD相关并发症的最佳预测指标。这些结果表明,使用STD算法可能会改善IUD使用者的选择。对于STD高风险女性,可建议其避免使用IUD,而中度风险女性应密切监测并建议使用避孕套。