Threshold-linear versus linear-linear analysis of birth weight and calving ease using an animal model: I. Variance component estimation.

Birth weight and calving difficulty were analyzed with Bayesian methodology using univariate linear models, a bivariate linear model, a threshold model for calving difficulty, and a joint threshold-linear model using a probit approach. Field data included 26,006 records of Gelbvieh cattle. Simulated populations were generated using parameters estimated from the field data. The Gibbs sampler was used to obtain estimates of the marginal posterior mean and standard deviation of the (co)variance components, heritabilities, and correlations. In the univariate analyses, the posterior mean of direct heritability for calving difficulty was .23 with the threshold model and .18 with the linear model. Maternal heritabilities were .10 and .08, respectively. In the bivariate analysis, posterior means of direct heritability for calving difficulty were .21 and .18 for the bivariate linear-threshold and linear-linear model, respectively. Maternal heritabilities were .09 and .06, respectively. Direct heritability for birth weight was .25 for the univariate model and .26 for bivariate models. Maternal heritability was .05 for the linear-threshold model and the univariate model and .06 for the bivariate linear model. Genetic correlation between direct genetic effects in both traits was .81 for the linear-threshold model and .79 for the bivariate linear. Residual correlation was .35 for the bivariate linear model and .50 for the bivariate linear-threshold. A simulation study confirmed that the posterior mean of the marginal distribution was suitable as a point estimate for univariate threshold and bivariate linear-threshold models.