Jönsson L, Lindgren P, Wimo A, Jönsson B, Winblad B
Centre for Health Economics, Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden.
Clin Ther. 1999 Jul;21(7):1230-40. doi: 10.1016/S0149-2918(00)80025-9.
This study compared the cost-effectiveness of donepezil, a new cholinesterase inhibitor indicated for the treatment of mild-to-moderate probable Alzheimer's disease (AD), with no treatment. A Markov state transition model was employed to simulate treatment costs based on Swedish epidemiologic data. The Markov states used in the model were defined according to cognitive function, as assessed by the Mini-Mental State Examination. Data on costs and baseline transition probabilities were taken from the Kungsholmen Project, an observational, population-based study of persons aged >75 years in Sweden. Data on the treatment effect were taken from a clinical trial comparing donepezil to placebo over 24 weeks and were applied to the baseline transition probabilities to assess the effect of treating the clinical manifestations of AD in Swedish patients. Also, a within-trial analysis was performed for comparison, using transition probabilities taken from the clinical study. Both models were run for 5 years in half-year cycles, and both demonstrated various degrees of cost savings and improved effectiveness, as measured by increased time in nonsevere disease states. Thus donepezil had superior cost-effectiveness compared with no treatment.
本研究比较了用于治疗轻至中度可能的阿尔茨海默病(AD)的新型胆碱酯酶抑制剂多奈哌齐与不治疗的成本效益。采用马尔可夫状态转移模型,根据瑞典流行病学数据模拟治疗成本。模型中使用的马尔可夫状态根据简易精神状态检查评估的认知功能来定义。成本和基线转移概率数据取自瑞典针对75岁以上人群的基于人群的观察性研究——孔斯霍尔门项目。治疗效果数据取自一项比较多奈哌齐与安慰剂治疗24周的临床试验,并应用于基线转移概率,以评估治疗瑞典患者AD临床表现的效果。此外,使用临床研究中的转移概率进行了试验内分析以作比较。两个模型均以半年为周期运行5年,并且两者均显示出不同程度的成本节省和有效性提高,以非严重疾病状态下时间增加来衡量。因此,与不治疗相比,多奈哌齐具有更高的成本效益。