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使用离散事件模拟评估多奈哌齐在德国治疗阿尔茨海默病的成本效益。

Evaluating the cost effectiveness of donepezil in the treatment of Alzheimer's disease in Germany using discrete event simulation.

机构信息

B214 Baquba Building, Conington Road, SE13 7FF London, UK.

出版信息

BMC Neurol. 2012 Feb 8;12:2. doi: 10.1186/1471-2377-12-2.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Previous cost-effectiveness studies of cholinesterase inhibitors have modeled Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression and treatment effects through single or global severity measures, or progression to "Full Time Care". This analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of donepezil versus memantine or no treatment in Germany by considering correlated changes in cognition, behavior and function.

METHODS

Rates of change were modeled using trial and registry-based patient level data. A discrete event simulation projected outcomes for three identical patient groups: donepezil 10 mg, memantine 20 mg and no therapy. Patient mix, mortality and costs were developed using Germany-specific sources.

RESULTS

Treatment of patients with mild to moderately severe AD with donepezil compared to no treatment was associated with 0.13 QALYs gained per patient, and 0.01 QALYs gained per caregiver and resulted in average savings of €7,007 and €9,893 per patient from the healthcare system and societal perspectives, respectively. In patients with moderate to moderately-severe AD, donepezil compared to memantine resulted in QALY gains averaging 0.01 per patient, and savings averaging €1,960 and €2,825 from the healthcare system and societal perspective, respectively.In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, donepezil dominated no treatment in most replications and memantine in over 70% of the replications. Donepezil leads to savings in 95% of replications versus memantine.

CONCLUSIONS

Donepezil is highly cost-effective in patients with AD in Germany, leading to improvements in health outcomes and substantial savings compared to no treatment. This holds across a variety of sensitivity analyses.

摘要

背景

先前的胆碱酯酶抑制剂成本效益研究通过单一或全球严重程度衡量标准或进展到“全职护理”来模拟阿尔茨海默病(AD)的进展和治疗效果。本分析通过考虑认知、行为和功能的相关性变化,评估了多奈哌齐与美金刚或不治疗在德国的成本效益。

方法

使用试验和基于登记的患者水平数据来模拟变化率。离散事件模拟预测了三组相同患者的结果:多奈哌齐 10mg、美金刚 20mg 和无治疗。患者组合、死亡率和成本使用德国特定来源开发。

结果

与不治疗相比,用多奈哌齐治疗轻度至中度严重 AD 的患者,每位患者的 QALY 增加了 0.13,每位护理人员的 QALY 增加了 0.01,分别为每位患者节省了 7007 欧元和 9893 欧元从医疗保健系统和社会的角度来看。在中度至中度严重 AD 患者中,与 memantine 相比,多奈哌齐导致每位患者平均增加了 0.01 的 QALY,分别从医疗保健系统和社会角度节省了 1960 欧元和 2825 欧元。在概率敏感性分析中,在大多数重复中,多奈哌齐优于不治疗,在超过 70%的重复中,多奈哌齐优于 memantine。与 memantine 相比,多奈哌齐在 95%的重复中导致节省。

结论

多奈哌齐在德国 AD 患者中具有很高的成本效益,与不治疗相比,可改善健康结果并节省大量费用。这在各种敏感性分析中都成立。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8c24/3296601/ffa645771a3b/1471-2377-12-2-1.jpg

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