Cuzick J
Department of Mathematics, Statistics and Epidemiology, Imperial Cancer Research Fund, London, U.K.
Eur J Cancer. 1999 May;35(5):685-92. doi: 10.1016/s0959-8049(99)00070-2.
Much progress has been made in cancer screening over the past decade, but a great deal more needs to be done if screening is to make a major impact on worldwide cancer mortality. Where fully implemented, cytological screening for cervical precursor lesions has had a major impact on mortality. However, the cost and required infrastructure levels are high, and new approaches are needed if screening is to be effective in the developing world. Testing for the human papillomavirus and automated liquid based cytology offer great promise to improve quality, reduce overall cost and make screening more viable generally. Breast screening has been less successful, although useful mortality benefits have been achieved in women aged over 50 years. Full implementation in countries that can afford it will save lives, but radical new approaches will be needed to conquer breast cancer. Colorectal cancer screening offers the best hope of a major reduction in cancer mortality over the next decade. Less certainty exists about screening for other major cancers such as lung, prostate and ovary, but a range of potential approaches merit investigation.
在过去十年里,癌症筛查取得了很大进展,但要想筛查对全球癌症死亡率产生重大影响,还有很多工作要做。在全面实施的地方,对宫颈前体病变进行细胞学筛查对死亡率产生了重大影响。然而,成本和所需的基础设施水平很高,如果要在发展中世界有效开展筛查,就需要新的方法。检测人乳头瘤病毒和采用自动化液基细胞学检查有望提高质量、降低总体成本并使筛查总体上更可行。乳腺癌筛查的成效较小,不过在50岁以上女性中已取得了有益的降低死亡率的效果。在有能力的国家全面实施将挽救生命,但需要全新的方法来攻克乳腺癌。结直肠癌筛查最有希望在未来十年大幅降低癌症死亡率。对于肺癌、前列腺癌和卵巢癌等其他主要癌症的筛查,确定性较低,但一系列潜在方法值得研究。