Stalmeier P F, Bezembinder T G
Nijmegen Institute for Cognition and Information, The Netherlands.
Med Decis Making. 1999 Oct-Dec;19(4):435-47. doi: 10.1177/0272989X9901900412.
Utilities differ according to whether they are derived from risky (gamble) and riskless (visual analog scale, time-tradeoff) assessment methods. The discrepancies are usually explained by assuming that the utilities elicited by risky methods incorporate attitudes towards risk, whereas riskless utilities do not. In (cumulative) prospect theory, risk attitude is conceived as consisting of two components: a decision-weight function (attentiveness to changes in, or sensitivity towards, chance) and a utility function (sensitivity towards outcomes). The authors' data suggest that a framing effect is a hitherto unrecognized and important factor in causing discrepancies between risky and riskless utilities. They collected risky evaluations with the gamble method, and riskless evaluations with difference measurement. Risky utilities were derived using expected-utility theory and prospect theory. With the latter approach, sensitivity towards outcomes and sensitivity towards chance are modeled separately. When the hypothesis that risky utilities from prospect theory coincide with riskless utilities was tested, it was rejected (n = 8, F(1,7) = 132, p = 0.000), suggesting that a correction for sensitivity towards chance is not sufficient to resolve the difference between risky and riskless utilities. Next, it was assumed that different gain/loss frames are induced by risky and riskless elicitation methods. Indeed, identical utility functions were obtained when the gain/loss frames were made identical across methods (n = 7), suggesting that framing was operative. The results suggest that risky and riskless utilities are identical after corrections for sensitivity towards chance and framing.
效用因它们是源自风险(赌博)评估方法还是无风险(视觉模拟量表、时间权衡)评估方法而有所不同。这些差异通常通过假设风险方法得出的效用包含对风险的态度,而无风险效用则不包含来解释。在(累积)前景理论中,风险态度被认为由两个部分组成:决策权重函数(对机会变化的关注度或对机会的敏感度)和效用函数(对结果的敏感度)。作者的数据表明,框架效应是导致风险效用和无风险效用之间差异的一个迄今未被认识到的重要因素。他们用赌博方法收集风险评估,用差异测量法收集无风险评估。风险效用是使用期望效用理论和前景理论推导出来的。在后一种方法中,对结果的敏感度和对机会的敏感度是分别建模的。当检验前景理论中的风险效用与无风险效用一致的假设时,该假设被拒绝(n = 8,F(1,7) = 132,p = 0.000),这表明对机会敏感度的校正不足以解决风险效用和无风险效用之间的差异。接下来,假设风险和无风险诱导方法会引发不同的收益/损失框架。事实上,当跨方法使收益/损失框架相同时,获得了相同的效用函数(n = 7),这表明框架效应起作用了。结果表明,在对机会敏感度和框架效应进行校正后,风险效用和无风险效用是相同的。