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[流感大流行:奥地利需要应急预案吗?]

[Influenza pandemic: does Austria need an emergency plan?].

作者信息

Kunze U, Dorner D, Groman E, Hartl H

机构信息

Institut für Sozialmedizin, Universität Wien.

出版信息

Wien Med Wochenschr. 1999;149(13):388-91.

Abstract

Even in present times and given the current state of medical science, an influenza pandemic may be expected to occur in addition to the usual annual epidemic of the disease. A pandemic is defined as a concentrated worldwide occurrence of a disease within a short period. Such a pandemic has been registered three times in this century. The influenza epidemic of 1918 to 1919 ("Spanish flu") killed 20 to 40 million people. A similar pandemic occurred in 1957 to 1958 (Hong Kong) and in 1968 (Asia). Although the current state of medicine is such that the high morbidity and mortality of 1918 is unlikely to recur, adequate preventive measures are warranted in health care as well as in social and political fields. In the event of such a pandemic, a large number of persons in Austria may be expected to be affected by the disease. In contrast to other countries, a detailed plan of prevention does not exist in Austria at the present time. A sudden influenza pandemic would give rise to a number of grave problems in the medical field (increase in mortality rates) as well as in social and political areas (maintaining the infrastructure of the country). In light of this fact it appears necessary to investigate the possibility of an influenza pandemic and to take suitable precautionary measures.

摘要

即便在当今时代,鉴于医学科学的现状,除了每年常见的流感疫情外,仍有可能发生流感大流行。大流行被定义为在短时间内疾病在全球范围内集中爆发。在本世纪,这样的大流行已出现过三次。1918年至1919年的流感疫情(“西班牙流感”)导致2000万至4000万人死亡。1957年至1958年(“香港流感”)以及1968年(“亚洲流感”)也发生了类似的大流行。尽管当前医学状况使得1918年那样高发病率和高死亡率的情况不太可能再次出现,但在医疗保健以及社会和政治领域都有必要采取充分的预防措施。如果发生这样的大流行,奥地利预计会有大量人员受到感染。与其他国家不同,奥地利目前没有详细的预防计划。突发的流感大流行将在医疗领域(死亡率上升)以及社会和政治领域(维持国家基础设施)引发一系列严重问题。鉴于这一事实,似乎有必要调查流感大流行的可能性并采取适当的预防措施。

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