Chaloupka F J, Pacula R L
Economics Department, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60607, USA.
Tob Control. 1999 Winter;8(4):373-7. doi: 10.1136/tc.8.4.373.
To determine if there are differences in young people's responsiveness to price and tobacco control policies for population subgroups and to examine whether or not these differences, if they exist, can explain sex and racial differences in trends in the prevalence of smoking in young people in the United States.
Use cross-sectional and intertemporal variation in local and state tobacco control policies and prices to calculate demand responses to these policies using regression analysis techniques.
A nationally representative sample of American eighth grade (ages 13-14 years), 10th grade (15-16 years) and 12th grade (17-18 years) students obtained from the 1992-1994 Monitoring the Future surveys.
Thirty-day smoking prevalence.
Young men are much more responsive to changes in the price of cigarettes than young women. The prevalence elasticity for young men is almost twice as large as that for young women. Smoking rates of young black men are significantly more responsive to changes in price than young white men. Significant differences in responsiveness to particular tobacco control policies also exist. These differences, however, explain relatively little of the differences in smoking prevalence among young population subgroups.
Policymakers need to keep in mind that there is not a "one-size fits all" strategy for discouraging smoking among young people.
确定年轻人对价格和烟草控制政策的反应在不同人群亚组中是否存在差异,并检验如果存在这些差异,它们是否能够解释美国年轻人吸烟流行趋势中的性别和种族差异。
利用地方和州烟草控制政策及价格的横断面和跨期变化,运用回归分析技术计算对这些政策的需求反应。
从1992 - 1994年“未来监测”调查中获取的具有全国代表性的美国八年级(13 - 14岁)、十年级(15 - 16岁)和十二年级(17 - 18岁)学生样本。
30天吸烟流行率。
年轻男性对香烟价格变化的反应比年轻女性更为敏感。年轻男性的流行率弹性几乎是年轻女性的两倍。年轻黑人男性的吸烟率对价格变化的反应明显比年轻白人男性更敏感。对特定烟草控制政策的反应也存在显著差异。然而,这些差异对年轻人群亚组中吸烟流行率差异的解释相对较少。
政策制定者需要牢记,在劝阻年轻人吸烟方面不存在“一刀切”的策略。