Wasserman J, Manning W G, Newhouse J P, Winkler J D
SysteMetrics/McGraw-Hill, Santa Barbara, CA 93101.
J Health Econ. 1991 May;10(1):43-64. doi: 10.1016/0167-6296(91)90016-g.
We estimate a generalized linear model to examine adult and teenage cigarette demand. Out analysis focuses on the extent to which excise taxes and regulations restricting smoking in public places affect cigarette consumption. The adult results indicate that the price elasticity of demand is unstable over time, ranging from 0.06 in 1970 to -0.23 in 1985. These estimates are lower than most found in previous studies. The teenage price elasticity does not differ statistically from the estimates for adults. Additionally, regulations restricting smoking in public places have a significant effect on both adult and teenage cigarette demand.
我们估计了一个广义线性模型,以研究成年人和青少年对香烟的需求。我们的分析重点在于消费税和限制在公共场所吸烟的规定对香烟消费的影响程度。成年人的结果表明,需求的价格弹性随时间不稳定,范围从1970年的0.06到1985年的-0.23。这些估计值低于先前研究中的大多数结果。青少年的价格弹性在统计上与成年人的估计值没有差异。此外,限制在公共场所吸烟的规定对成年人和青少年的香烟需求都有显著影响。