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[新生儿肩宽:肩难产的生理变异及预测价值]

[Newborn shoulder width: physiological variations and predictive value for shoulder dystocia].

作者信息

Verspyck E, Goffinet F, Hellot M F, Milliez J, Marpeau L

机构信息

Service de Gynécologie-Obstétrique, CHU Rouen.

出版信息

J Gynecol Obstet Biol Reprod (Paris). 2000 Apr;29(2):192-6.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine maternal and infant characteristics affecting newborn shoulder width (NSW) and to evaluate the predictive value of NSW measurement in cases of shoulder dystocia.

DESIGN

NSW was systematically measured at birth during a period of 18 months.

SETTING

Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology of Saint-Antoine University Hospital (Paris-France).

POPULATION

A total of 2.222 NSW measurements were performed and 22 cases of true shoulder dystocia occurred during the study period.

METHODS

NSW measurements were reviewed and correlated with maternal age, parity, nonpregnant weight, weight gain during pregnancy, height, race, fasting glucose and one hour glucose levels, gestational age, birthweight and sex of the neonate. A Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve was constructed to evaluate NSW as a test for predicting shoulder dystocia.

RESULTS

The mean NSW was 122.06 mm +/-0.50 SD. Stepwise multiple regression showed that NSW was significantly associated with birthweight (p<0.001), parity (p = 0.04), and nonpregnant weight (p = 0.04). We estimated that the best cut-off for shoulder dystocia prediction was a NSW measurement with a low false positive rate (<10%) in association with a high sensitivity rate. Therefore, NSW measurement above or equal to 140 mm was selected. This measurement should have a low sensitivity of 27.27%, a specificity of 91.82%, a positive predictive value of 4.02%, and a predictive negative value of 99.01% for shoulder dystocia prediction. Nevertheless, birthweight above or equal to 4000 g should retrospectively have a better predictive value for shoulder dystocia.

CONCLUSIONS

NSW measurement, which is strongly correlated with birth weight, still remains a poor predictor for shoulder dystocia, even when this evaluation is correct antenatally.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定影响新生儿肩宽(NSW)的母婴特征,并评估NSW测量在肩难产病例中的预测价值。

设计

在18个月的时间内,对出生时的NSW进行系统测量。

地点

圣安托万大学医院妇产科(法国巴黎)。

研究对象

共进行了2222次NSW测量,研究期间发生了22例真性肩难产。

方法

回顾NSW测量结果,并将其与产妇年龄、产次、非孕期体重、孕期体重增加、身高、种族、空腹血糖和1小时血糖水平、孕周、出生体重及新生儿性别进行相关性分析。构建受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,以评估NSW作为预测肩难产的指标。

结果

NSW的平均值为122.06mm±0.50标准差。逐步多元回归分析显示,NSW与出生体重(p<0.001)、产次(p = 0.04)和非孕期体重(p = 0.04)显著相关。我们估计,预测肩难产的最佳截断值是NSW测量值,其假阳性率低(<10%)且灵敏度高。因此,选择NSW测量值大于或等于140mm。该测量值预测肩难产的灵敏度为27.27%,特异度为91.82%,阳性预测值为4.02%,阴性预测值为99.01%。然而,回顾性分析显示,出生体重大于或等于4000g对肩难产有更好的预测价值。

结论

NSW测量与出生体重密切相关,但即使产前评估正确,它对肩难产的预测能力仍然较差。

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