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[确定灾难性洪灾中受影响人群健康损失的科学依据]

[The scientific bases for determining the health losses of the affected population in catastrophic flooding].

作者信息

Voloshyn V O, Volians'kyĭ P B, Terent'iev A V, Terent'ieva A V

出版信息

Lik Sprava. 1999 Jul(5):150-4.

Abstract

The article focuses on methodological approaches to the determination of sanitary losses among population in a catastrophic flood. An emergency is considered that can arise in the destruction of the water-development project assemblies. The following items were taken account of in working out of the above approaches: population density in the territories found to be in the zone of flood: notification and evacuation of the population from the zone of catastrophe in a timely fashion, the distance from the site of formation of the wave of breaking to the populated locality, the height and velocity of the wave of breaking, time of the year and day of the catastrophe. Scientific and methodological approaches and the mathematical model "Povin'" ("Flood") developed with the aid of such approaches permit analyzing the situation having presented itself, working out administrative decisions for the territorial public health services directing bodies to be taken in the current situation, instituting measures designed to eliminate medicosanitary effects of the catastrophic flood within the shortest time possible.

摘要

本文聚焦于确定灾难性洪灾中人群卫生损失的方法学途径。考虑了水利开发项目设施遭到破坏时可能出现的紧急情况。在制定上述方法时考虑了以下各项:洪灾区域内各地区的人口密度;及时通知并疏散灾区人口;溃坝波形成地点与居民区的距离;溃坝波的高度和速度;灾难发生的年份和日期。借助这些方法制定的科学方法和数学模型“Povin”(“洪水”)能够分析当前出现的情况,为领土公共卫生服务指导机构制定当前形势下应采取的行政决策,并采取措施在尽可能短的时间内消除灾难性洪水的医疗卫生影响。

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