Hodges K, Kim C S
Department of Psychology, Eastern Michigan University, Ypsilanti, USA.
J Abnorm Child Psychol. 2000 Jun;28(3):287-97. doi: 10.1023/a:1005100521818.
The predictive validity of the Child and Adolescent Functional Assessment Scale (CAFAS) is investigated using the data set generated by the national evaluation of the demonstration service grants funded by the Center for Mental Health Services. Logistic regressions were performed separately for contact with the law and poor school attendance, which were both assessed at 6 months postintake. Other variables included in the model besides the CAFAS total score at intake were age, gender, and family risk factors. The results show that the CAFAS total score at intake was a positive predictor of the likelihood of contact with the law and poor school attendance, even after controlling for age, gender, and risk factors. Furthermore, the CAFAS total score was predictive even after excluding scores on CAFAS subscales, which may have been influenced by absenteeism or delinquency. These findings are consistent with recent research indicating that the CAFAS predicts recidivism in juvenile delinquents.
利用心理健康服务中心资助的示范服务补助金全国评估所产生的数据集,对儿童和青少年功能评估量表(CAFAS)的预测效度进行了调查。分别对与法律接触和学校出勤率低进行了逻辑回归分析,这两项指标均在入院后6个月进行评估。模型中除入院时的CAFAS总分外,还纳入了年龄、性别和家庭风险因素等其他变量。结果表明,即使在控制了年龄、性别和风险因素之后,入院时的CAFAS总分仍是与法律接触和学校出勤率低可能性的正向预测指标。此外,即使排除了可能受旷课或犯罪行为影响的CAFAS子量表得分,CAFAS总分仍具有预测性。这些发现与最近的研究一致,即CAFAS可预测青少年罪犯的再犯情况。