Hernán M A, Hohol M J, Olek M J, Spiegelman D, Ascherio A
Departments of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Neurology. 2000 Sep 26;55(6):848-54. doi: 10.1212/wnl.55.6.848.
Experimental and clinical data suggest a protective effect of estrogens on the development and progression of MS.
We assessed whether MS incidence was associated with oral contraceptive use or parity in two cohort studies of U.S. women, the Nurses' Health Study (NHS; 121,700 women aged 30 to 55 years at baseline in 1976) and the Nurses' Health Study II (NHS II; 116,671 women aged 25 to 42 years at baseline in 1989). Participants with a diagnosis of MS before baseline were excluded. Oral contraceptive history and parity were assessed at baseline and updated biennially. During follow-ups of 18 years (NHS) and 8 years (NHS II) we documented a total of 315 definite or probable cases of MS.
Neither use of oral contraceptives nor parity were significantly associated with the risk of MS. As compared with women who never used oral contraceptives, the age-adjusted relative risk (95% CI) was 1.2 (0.9, 1.5) for past users, and 1.0 (0.6, 1.7) for current users. Similar results were obtained after adjustment for latitude, ancestry, and other potential confounding factors. There was no clear trend of MS risk with either increasing duration of use or time elapsed since last use. Age at first birth was also not associated with the risk of MS.
These prospective results do not support a lasting protective effect of oral contraceptive use or pregnancy on the risk of MS. The decision to use hormonal contraception should not be affected by its effects on the risk of MS.
实验和临床数据表明雌激素对多发性硬化症(MS)的发生和发展具有保护作用。
我们在美国女性的两项队列研究中评估了MS发病率与口服避孕药使用或生育情况之间的关联,这两项研究分别是护士健康研究(NHS;1976年基线时121,700名年龄在30至55岁之间的女性)和护士健康研究II(NHS II;1989年基线时116,671名年龄在25至42岁之间的女性)。排除基线前被诊断为MS的参与者。在基线时评估口服避孕药史和生育情况,并每两年更新一次。在18年的随访期(NHS)和8年的随访期(NHS II)中,我们共记录了315例明确或可能的MS病例。
口服避孕药的使用和生育情况均与MS风险无显著关联。与从未使用过口服避孕药的女性相比,过去使用者的年龄调整相对风险(95%可信区间)为1.2(0.9,1.5),当前使用者为1.0(0.6,1.7)。在调整纬度、血统和其他潜在混杂因素后,得到了类似的结果。无论是使用时间的增加还是自上次使用以来的时间推移,MS风险均无明显趋势。初产年龄也与MS风险无关。
这些前瞻性结果不支持口服避孕药使用或怀孕对MS风险具有持久保护作用的观点。使用激素避孕的决定不应受其对MS风险影响的影响。