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[20世纪80年代以来拉丁美洲的经济危机与婴儿死亡率]

[Economic crisis and infant mortality in Latin America since the 1980's].

作者信息

Romero D E, Szwarcwald C L

机构信息

Departamento de Informações em Saúde, Centro de Informação Científica e Tecnológica, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, 21041-210, Brasil.

出版信息

Cad Saude Publica. 2000 Jul-Sep;16(3):799-814. doi: 10.1590/s0102-311x2000000300028.

DOI:10.1590/s0102-311x2000000300028
PMID:11035519
Abstract

In the present study, based on data from nine Latin American countries, we found evidence of an association between the economic crisis and infant mortality during the last decades. The paper initially review previous studies on this issue and shows the need for a greater research focus on shorter time intervals. We then describe the deterioration and unequal conditions among the countries based on trends in selected social and economic indicators and the evolution of infant mortality rates. According to our statistical analysis, infant mortality bore an inverse association to short-term economic variations. We also found a significant and negative correlation between decreasing infant mortality rates and increasing poverty. The economic crisis displayed effects of varying intensity among the countries we analyzed, with social inequality appearing as the most probable explanatory variable.

摘要

在本研究中,基于来自九个拉丁美洲国家的数据,我们发现了过去几十年间经济危机与婴儿死亡率之间存在关联的证据。本文首先回顾了此前关于该问题的研究,并表明有必要更加关注较短时间间隔的研究。然后,我们根据选定的社会和经济指标趋势以及婴儿死亡率的演变,描述了各国之间的恶化情况和不平等状况。根据我们的统计分析,婴儿死亡率与短期经济变化呈负相关。我们还发现婴儿死亡率下降与贫困加剧之间存在显著的负相关。在我们分析的国家中,经济危机表现出不同强度的影响,社会不平等似乎是最有可能的解释变量。

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[Speech by Oscar Julian Bardeci, director of the Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia (CELADE), at the Latinamerican Regional Meeting prior to the International Conference on Population in recognition of the Second Meeting on Population by the Committee of Upper-Level Government Experts (CEGAN), Havana, Cuba, November 16-19, 1983].[拉丁美洲人口中心(CELADE)主任奥斯卡·朱利安·巴德西在国际人口会议之前举行的拉丁美洲区域会议上的讲话,此次会议是为了纪念高级别政府专家委员会(CEGAN)第二次人口会议,于1983年11月16日至19日在古巴哈瓦那举行]
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