Smith K R
School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720-7360, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2000 Nov 21;97(24):13286-93. doi: 10.1073/pnas.97.24.13286.
In the last decade, a number of quantitative epidemiological studies of specific diseases have been done in developing countries that for the first time allow estimation of the total burden of disease (mortality and morbidity) attributable to use of solid fuels in adult women and young children, who jointly receive the highest exposures because of their household roles. Few such studies are available as yet for adult men or children over 5 years. This paper evaluates the existing epidemiological studies and applies the resulting risks to the more than three-quarters of all Indian households dependent on such fuels. Allowance is made for the existence of improved stoves with chimneys and other factors that may lower exposures. Attributable risks are calculated in reference to the demographic conditions and patterns of each disease in India. Sufficient evidence is available to estimate risks most confidently for acute respiratory infections (ARI), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and lung cancer. Estimates for tuberculosis (TB), asthma, and blindness are of intermediate confidence. Estimates for heart disease have the lowest confidence. Insufficient quantitative evidence is currently available to estimate the impact of adverse pregnancy outcomes (e.g., low birthweight and stillbirth). The resulting conservative estimates indicate that some 400-550 thousand premature deaths can be attributed annually to use of biomass fuels in these population groups. Using a disability-adjusted lost life-year approach, the total is 4-6% of the Indian national burden of disease, placing indoor air pollution as a major risk factor in the country.
在过去十年中,发展中国家针对特定疾病开展了多项定量流行病学研究,首次得以估算因使用固体燃料而导致成年女性和幼儿所承担的疾病总负担(死亡率和发病率),由于她们在家庭中的角色,这两类人群共同承受着最高的暴露风险。针对成年男性和5岁以上儿童的此类研究目前还很少。本文评估了现有的流行病学研究,并将所得风险应用于印度超过四分之三依赖此类燃料的家庭。研究考虑了带烟囱的改良炉灶的存在以及其他可能降低暴露风险的因素。归因风险是参照印度每种疾病的人口统计学状况和模式计算得出的。现有足够证据可较为自信地估算急性呼吸道感染(ARI)、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)和肺癌的风险。对结核病(TB)、哮喘和失明的估算可信度中等。对心脏病的估算可信度最低。目前尚无足够的定量证据来估算不良妊娠结局(如低出生体重和死产)的影响。由此得出的保守估计表明,这些人群中每年约有40万至55万例过早死亡可归因于生物质燃料的使用。采用伤残调整生命年方法计算,这一数字占印度国家疾病负担的4%至6%,使室内空气污染成为该国的一个主要风险因素。