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患有口面部裂隙儿童出生情况的时间序列分析。

Time series analysis of births of children with orofacial clefts.

作者信息

Kozelj V, Vegnuti M

机构信息

Department of Maxillofacial and Oral Surgery, University Medical Center Zaloska, Ljubljana.

出版信息

J Craniomaxillofac Surg. 2000 Aug;28(4):201-3. doi: 10.1054/jcms.2000.0150.

Abstract

Observation of the dates when children with orofacial clefts were born, gives the impression that they were born in clusters, between which there were intervals of different duration. An analysis was therefore undertaken of the period between 1972 to 1997 when 1112 such children were born. For diagnostic checking of stationarity of the time series the Box-Ljung test was used. Since it was found that the time series was stationary, analysis of autocorrelation function was performed. The results confirmed the impression that children with clefts are born in clusters, between which there are gaps of different duration. This suggests that the birth of a child with a cleft is not a random and independent event.

摘要

观察患有口面部裂的儿童的出生日期,可以发现他们似乎是成群出生的,每群之间有不同时长的间隔。因此,对1972年至1997年间出生的1112名此类儿童的时间段进行了分析。为了对时间序列的平稳性进行诊断检验,使用了Box-Ljung检验。由于发现时间序列是平稳的,所以进行了自相关函数分析。结果证实了这样一种印象,即患有口面部裂的儿童是成群出生的,每群之间存在不同时长的间隔。这表明患有口面部裂的儿童的出生并非随机且独立的事件。

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