Soliman A E, Reza H
Institute of Psychiatry, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
Psychiatr Serv. 2001 Jan;52(1):75-80. doi: 10.1176/appi.ps.52.1.75.
The purpose of the study was to identify risk factors and correlates of violence committed by patients in an acute adult psychiatric inpatient unit in a district general hospital of the United Kingdom's National Health Service.
Incidents of violence committed by inpatients over a one-year period in 1997-1998 were retrospectively analyzed. The clinical characteristics of 49 violent patients were compared with those of all patients admitted to the unit during the study period (N=474) and with a random sample of nonviolent patients (N=140). Logistic regression analysis was used to identify clinical variables that predicted violent behavior.
Violence was not positively associated with schizophrenia or negatively associated with depression. Frequent medication change, high use of sedative drugs, past violent behavior, an ICD-10 diagnosis of dissocial personality disorder or emotionally unstable personality disorder (DSM-IV antisocial personality disorder or borderline personality disorder), and long hospitalization were the most powerful predictors of violence. Together these variables had a sensitivity of 76 percent, a specificity of 97 percent, and a positive predictive value of 90 percent in predicting which patients became violent. Compulsory (involuntary) admission, comorbid diagnoses, past self-harm, and nonalcohol drug abuse were also associated with violent behavior.
Clinicians' judgment about an inpatient's potential for violence may be augmented by knowledge of the risk factors identified in this study. Medication variables could be especially useful predictors, particularly when information about other risk factors is not available. Factors other than mental illness per se may be crucial determinants of violence in acute inpatient settings.
本研究旨在确定英国国民医疗服务体系一家区级综合医院成人急性精神科住院部患者实施暴力行为的风险因素及相关因素。
回顾性分析1997年至1998年期间住院患者在一年时间内发生的暴力事件。将49名暴力患者的临床特征与研究期间该科室收治的所有患者(N = 474)以及非暴力患者随机样本(N = 140)的临床特征进行比较。采用逻辑回归分析来确定预测暴力行为的临床变量。
暴力行为与精神分裂症无正相关,与抑郁症无负相关。频繁更换药物、大量使用镇静药物、既往暴力行为、国际疾病分类第10版诊断为反社会型人格障碍或情绪不稳定型人格障碍(精神疾病诊断与统计手册第4版反社会型人格障碍或边缘型人格障碍)以及长期住院是暴力行为最有力的预测因素。这些变量共同在预测哪些患者会实施暴力行为时,敏感度为76%,特异度为97%,阳性预测值为90%。强制(非自愿)入院、共病诊断、既往自残行为以及非酒精类药物滥用也与暴力行为有关。
了解本研究中确定的风险因素可能会增强临床医生对住院患者暴力行为可能性的判断。药物变量可能是特别有用的预测指标,尤其是在无法获取其他风险因素信息时。在急性住院环境中,精神疾病本身以外的因素可能是暴力行为的关键决定因素。